Official National Weather Service observations at Los Angeles International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 85°F on August 29, 2026, locking trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 84-85°F outcome. Persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer capped coastal highs after an earlier heatwave, with ensemble forecasts showing tight agreement around this moderated peak near the seasonal normal of 75°F plus a modest 10°F departure. Historical analogs from similar post-heatwave patterns and real-time buoy and sounding data reinforced the limited warming potential under prevailing westerly winds. While post-publication revisions remain theoretically possible until the next reporting cycle, current verified measurements leave little room for alternative bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日洛杉矶气温最高?
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F或以下 <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$42,411 交易量
$42,411 交易量
73°F或以下
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
是
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92°F或更高
否
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F或以下 <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$42,411 交易量
$42,411 交易量
73°F或以下
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
是
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92°F或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official National Weather Service observations at Los Angeles International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 85°F on August 29, 2026, locking trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 84-85°F outcome. Persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer capped coastal highs after an earlier heatwave, with ensemble forecasts showing tight agreement around this moderated peak near the seasonal normal of 75°F plus a modest 10°F departure. Historical analogs from similar post-heatwave patterns and real-time buoy and sounding data reinforced the limited warming potential under prevailing westerly winds. While post-publication revisions remain theoretically possible until the next reporting cycle, current verified measurements leave little room for alternative bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题