**Official Hong Kong Observatory records show a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 28, 2026, anchoring the market’s near-certain 99.9% implied probability on that outcome.** Subtropical summer conditions, including a broad low-pressure trough over the region, supported typical diurnal warming with light southwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and relative humidity around 75–80%, allowing the afternoon peak without the heavy rain or stronger cooling that would have suppressed the high. This aligns with climatological expectations for late-August temperatures in Hong Kong. The only realistic challenges would involve post-initial publication revisions to the HKO’s Absolute Daily Max value or an unforeseen measurement discrepancy at the official station, both of which the market explicitly excludes once data finalize.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日香港气温最高？
8月28日香港气温最高？
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$173,990 交易量
$173,990 交易量
2026-08-28
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$173,990 交易量
$173,990 交易量
2026-08-28
25°C or below
$2,228 交易量
<1%
26°C
$2,223 交易量
<1%
27°C
$2,287 交易量
<1%
28°C
$3,377 交易量
<1%
29°C
$13,252 交易量
<1%
30°C
$20,236 交易量
<1%
31°C
$34,489 交易量
<1%
32°C
$56,428 交易量
100%
33°C
$29,179 交易量
<1%
34°C
$5,934 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$4,357 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory records show a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 28, 2026, anchoring the market’s near-certain 99.9% implied probability on that outcome.** Subtropical summer conditions, including a broad low-pressure trough over the region, supported typical diurnal warming with light southwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and relative humidity around 75–80%, allowing the afternoon peak without the heavy rain or stronger cooling that would have suppressed the high. This aligns with climatological expectations for late-August temperatures in Hong Kong. The only realistic challenges would involve post-initial publication revisions to the HKO’s Absolute Daily Max value or an unforeseen measurement discrepancy at the official station, both of which the market explicitly excludes once data finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$173,990结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory records show a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 28, 2026, anchoring the market’s near-certain 99.9% implied probability on that outcome.** Subtropical summer conditions, including a broad low-pressure trough over the region, supported typical diurnal warming with light southwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and relative humidity around 75–80%, allowing the afternoon peak without the heavy rain or stronger cooling that would have suppressed the high. This aligns with climatological expectations for late-August temperatures in Hong Kong. The only realistic challenges would involve post-initial publication revisions to the HKO’s Absolute Daily Max value or an unforeseen measurement discrepancy at the official station, both of which the market explicitly excludes once data finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$173,990结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Official Hong Kong Observatory records show a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 28, 2026, anchoring the market’s near-certain 99.9% implied probability on that outcome.** Subtropical summer conditions, including a broad low-pressure trough over the region, supported typical diurnal warming with light southwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and relative humidity around 75–80%, allowing the afternoon peak without the heavy rain or stronger cooling that would have suppressed the high. This aligns with climatological expectations for late-August temperatures in Hong Kong. The only realistic challenges would involve post-initial publication revisions to the HKO’s Absolute Daily Max value or an unforeseen measurement discrepancy at the official station, both of which the market explicitly excludes once data finalize.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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