Recent rainfall across Chongqing on August 29–30 lowered maximum temperatures to around 31°C on the 30th, with widespread cloud cover and showers suppressing daytime heating. As skies clear under building high pressure, forecasters expect a rebound driven by typical late-summer “autumn tiger” conditions—subsidence, light northerly winds, and high humidity that limit nocturnal cooling and amplify daytime peaks in the city’s basin topography. Official guidance and ensemble models currently cluster around 34–36 °C for August 31, with the majority of runs favoring 35 °C as the most likely station maximum. This distribution explains why 35 °C commands the highest market-implied probability, followed closely by 34 °C, while higher or lower outcomes remain thinly traded given limited upside from additional warming or downside from lingering moisture. Updated model runs and the next Chongqing Meteorological Bureau briefing will be the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日重庆气温最高？
8月31日重庆气温最高？
35°C 47%
34°C 31%
36°C 16%
33°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
31%
35°C
47%
36°C
16%
37°C
3%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 47%
34°C 31%
36°C 16%
33°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
29°C or below
$256 交易量
<1%
30°C
$316 交易量
<1%
31°C
$576 交易量
<1%
32°C
$408 交易量
1%
33°C
$16 交易量
7%
34°C
$242 交易量
31%
35°C
$716 交易量
47%
36°C
$385 交易量
16%
37°C
$501 交易量
3%
38°C
$131 交易量
<1%
39°C or higher
$472 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall across Chongqing on August 29–30 lowered maximum temperatures to around 31°C on the 30th, with widespread cloud cover and showers suppressing daytime heating. As skies clear under building high pressure, forecasters expect a rebound driven by typical late-summer “autumn tiger” conditions—subsidence, light northerly winds, and high humidity that limit nocturnal cooling and amplify daytime peaks in the city’s basin topography. Official guidance and ensemble models currently cluster around 34–36 °C for August 31, with the majority of runs favoring 35 °C as the most likely station maximum. This distribution explains why 35 °C commands the highest market-implied probability, followed closely by 34 °C, while higher or lower outcomes remain thinly traded given limited upside from additional warming or downside from lingering moisture. Updated model runs and the next Chongqing Meteorological Bureau briefing will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$4,017结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall across Chongqing on August 29–30 lowered maximum temperatures to around 31°C on the 30th, with widespread cloud cover and showers suppressing daytime heating. As skies clear under building high pressure, forecasters expect a rebound driven by typical late-summer “autumn tiger” conditions—subsidence, light northerly winds, and high humidity that limit nocturnal cooling and amplify daytime peaks in the city’s basin topography. Official guidance and ensemble models currently cluster around 34–36 °C for August 31, with the majority of runs favoring 35 °C as the most likely station maximum. This distribution explains why 35 °C commands the highest market-implied probability, followed closely by 34 °C, while higher or lower outcomes remain thinly traded given limited upside from additional warming or downside from lingering moisture. Updated model runs and the next Chongqing Meteorological Bureau briefing will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,017结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent rainfall across Chongqing on August 29–30 lowered maximum temperatures to around 31°C on the 30th, with widespread cloud cover and showers suppressing daytime heating. As skies clear under building high pressure, forecasters expect a rebound driven by typical late-summer “autumn tiger” conditions—subsidence, light northerly winds, and high humidity that limit nocturnal cooling and amplify daytime peaks in the city’s basin topography. Official guidance and ensemble models currently cluster around 34–36 °C for August 31, with the majority of runs favoring 35 °C as the most likely station maximum. This distribution explains why 35 °C commands the highest market-implied probability, followed closely by 34 °C, while higher or lower outcomes remain thinly traded given limited upside from additional warming or downside from lingering moisture. Updated model runs and the next Chongqing Meteorological Bureau briefing will be the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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