Latest numerical weather prediction models from major centers show mostly cloudy conditions with light rain possible over Chengdu on September 14, keeping maximum temperatures clustered near the seasonal average of 25°C. Persistent cloud cover limits daytime solar heating while elevated humidity and light variable winds reduce the potential for stronger warming, with any showers providing additional localized cooling. Model consensus across runs places the daily high most often between 24–26°C, though small differences in cloud thickness or precipitation timing could shift the outcome by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh these variables evenly given the closely matched probabilities, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations. Updated model guidance expected overnight may further narrow the range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日成都气温最高？
9月14日成都气温最高？
25°C 26%
24°C 24%
26°C 21%
23°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
22°C或以下
5%
23°C
11%
24°C
24%
25°C
26%
26°C
21%
27°C
10%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
25°C 26%
24°C 24%
26°C 21%
23°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
22°C或以下
$169 交易量
5%
23°C
$350 交易量
11%
24°C
$1,419 交易量
24%
25°C
$247 交易量
26%
26°C
$335 交易量
21%
27°C
$407 交易量
10%
28°C
$361 交易量
5%
29°C
$333 交易量
2%
30°C
$140 交易量
<1%
31°C
$326 交易量
<1%
32°C或更高
$339 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from major centers show mostly cloudy conditions with light rain possible over Chengdu on September 14, keeping maximum temperatures clustered near the seasonal average of 25°C. Persistent cloud cover limits daytime solar heating while elevated humidity and light variable winds reduce the potential for stronger warming, with any showers providing additional localized cooling. Model consensus across runs places the daily high most often between 24–26°C, though small differences in cloud thickness or precipitation timing could shift the outcome by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh these variables evenly given the closely matched probabilities, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations. Updated model guidance expected overnight may further narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$4,426结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from major centers show mostly cloudy conditions with light rain possible over Chengdu on September 14, keeping maximum temperatures clustered near the seasonal average of 25°C. Persistent cloud cover limits daytime solar heating while elevated humidity and light variable winds reduce the potential for stronger warming, with any showers providing additional localized cooling. Model consensus across runs places the daily high most often between 24–26°C, though small differences in cloud thickness or precipitation timing could shift the outcome by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh these variables evenly given the closely matched probabilities, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations. Updated model guidance expected overnight may further narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,426结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models from major centers show mostly cloudy conditions with light rain possible over Chengdu on September 14, keeping maximum temperatures clustered near the seasonal average of 25°C. Persistent cloud cover limits daytime solar heating while elevated humidity and light variable winds reduce the potential for stronger warming, with any showers providing additional localized cooling. Model consensus across runs places the daily high most often between 24–26°C, though small differences in cloud thickness or precipitation timing could shift the outcome by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh these variables evenly given the closely matched probabilities, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations. Updated model guidance expected overnight may further narrow the range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题