Recent short-term forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Busan on September 1 most likely between 31–33°C, driven by persistent late-summer southerly flow, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the East Sea, and weak pressure gradients limiting daytime cooling. Historical September baselines for the region average near 28–30°C, but recent heat anomalies and minimal frontal activity have elevated expectations. Model consensus shows limited spread, with 32°C emerging as the modal outcome; traders weigh potential adjustments from the next 48-hour model runs against typical diurnal variability. Resolution hinges on official 24-hour maximum readings at designated stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日釜山气温最高?
32°C 45%
31°C 26%
33°C 24%
30°C 6%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
26%
32°C
45%
33°C
24%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
32°C 45%
31°C 26%
33°C 24%
30°C 6%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
26%
32°C
45%
33°C
24%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-term forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Busan on September 1 most likely between 31–33°C, driven by persistent late-summer southerly flow, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the East Sea, and weak pressure gradients limiting daytime cooling. Historical September baselines for the region average near 28–30°C, but recent heat anomalies and minimal frontal activity have elevated expectations. Model consensus shows limited spread, with 32°C emerging as the modal outcome; traders weigh potential adjustments from the next 48-hour model runs against typical diurnal variability. Resolution hinges on official 24-hour maximum readings at designated stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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