Democratic incumbent Laura Friedman advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with over 52 percent of the vote in California's 30th Congressional District, facing Republican Scott Meyers in the November general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of D+21 and consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic from forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Friedman's established incumbency, primary dominance, and the limited strength of Republican challengers in this Los Angeles-area seat reinforce expectations of continued Democratic control. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen national political realignment, a major candidate-specific development, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though structural and historical factors make such outcomes improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,267 交易量
$24,267 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$24,267 交易量
$24,267 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$13,067 交易量
95%
共和党
$11,200 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Laura Friedman advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with over 52 percent of the vote in California's 30th Congressional District, facing Republican Scott Meyers in the November general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of D+21 and consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic from forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Friedman's established incumbency, primary dominance, and the limited strength of Republican challengers in this Los Angeles-area seat reinforce expectations of continued Democratic control. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen national political realignment, a major candidate-specific development, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though structural and historical factors make such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$24,267结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Laura Friedman advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with over 52 percent of the vote in California's 30th Congressional District, facing Republican Scott Meyers in the November general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of D+21 and consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic from forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Friedman's established incumbency, primary dominance, and the limited strength of Republican challengers in this Los Angeles-area seat reinforce expectations of continued Democratic control. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen national political realignment, a major candidate-specific development, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though structural and historical factors make such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,267结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETDemocratic incumbent Laura Friedman advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with over 52 percent of the vote in California's 30th Congressional District, facing Republican Scott Meyers in the November general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of D+21 and consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic from forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Friedman's established incumbency, primary dominance, and the limited strength of Republican challengers in this Los Angeles-area seat reinforce expectations of continued Democratic control. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen national political realignment, a major candidate-specific development, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though structural and historical factors make such outcomes improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题