Kevin Kiley, running as an independent after switching from the Republican Party, and Democrat Richard Pan advanced from California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary in the newly redrawn 6th Congressional District. Redistricting shifted the Sacramento-area seat, prompting former incumbent Ami Bera to run elsewhere and drawing multiple Democratic challengers including Thien Ho, Lauren Babb Tomlinson, and Martha Guerrero. Vote splitting among Democrats combined with Kiley's name recognition allowed the two to secure the highest shares despite a fragmented field. Trader consensus on these outcomes reflects the primary results and California's nonpartisan primary rules, with the general election now set for November. No further primary developments remain.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于CA-06 Primary Winners
$7,284 交易量
Lauren Babb Tomlinson
No
Michael Stansfield
No
Thien Ho
No
Kevin Kiley
Yes
Martha Guerrero
No
Richard Pan
Yes
Tyler Vandenberg
No
$7,284 交易量
Lauren Babb Tomlinson
No
Michael Stansfield
No
Thien Ho
No
Kevin Kiley
Yes
Martha Guerrero
No
Richard Pan
Yes
Tyler Vandenberg
No
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间: Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Kevin Kiley, running as an independent after switching from the Republican Party, and Democrat Richard Pan advanced from California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary in the newly redrawn 6th Congressional District. Redistricting shifted the Sacramento-area seat, prompting former incumbent Ami Bera to run elsewhere and drawing multiple Democratic challengers including Thien Ho, Lauren Babb Tomlinson, and Martha Guerrero. Vote splitting among Democrats combined with Kiley's name recognition allowed the two to secure the highest shares despite a fragmented field. Trader consensus on these outcomes reflects the primary results and California's nonpartisan primary rules, with the general election now set for November. No further primary developments remain.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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