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icon for 12月31日的第三大富豪？

12月31日的第三大富豪？

icon for 12月31日的第三大富豪？

12月31日的第三大富豪？

马克·扎克伯格 38.3%

伯纳德·阿尔诺 13.8%

拉里·佩奇 12.8%

埃隆·马斯克 4.5%

Polymarket

$24,648 交易量

马克·扎克伯格 38.3%

伯纳德·阿尔诺 13.8%

拉里·佩奇 12.8%

埃隆·马斯克 4.5%

Polymarket

$24,648 交易量

icon for 马克·扎克伯格

马克·扎克伯格

$740 交易量

38%

icon for 伯纳德·阿尔诺

伯纳德·阿尔诺

$341 交易量

14%

icon for 拉里·佩奇

拉里·佩奇

$6,729 交易量

13%

icon for 埃隆·马斯克

埃隆·马斯克

$314 交易量

4%

icon for 沃伦·巴菲特

沃伦·巴菲特

$1,067 交易量

7%

icon for 史蒂夫·鲍尔默

史蒂夫·鲍尔默

$13,455 交易量

3%

icon for 杰夫·贝索斯

杰夫·贝索斯

$346 交易量

35%

icon for 拉里·埃里森

拉里·埃里森

$480 交易量

31%

icon for 黄仁勋

黄仁勋

$796 交易量

36%

icon for 谢尔盖·布林

谢尔盖·布林

$378 交易量

45%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader sentiment favors Sergey Brin for third-richest status at year-end due to Alphabet's resilient stock trajectory and AI infrastructure gains, positioning his fortune ahead of volatile peers amid recent market swings. Mark Zuckerberg trails closely as Meta's AI spending draws mixed Wall Street reactions and share-price dips erode momentum, while Jensen Huang benefits from Nvidia's semiconductor dominance yet faces similar tech-sector fluctuations. Jeff Bezos maintains steady Amazon-driven positioning, but the tight clustering around 35-45% implied odds highlights how earnings reports, AI investment narratives, and broader market sentiment could rapidly shift the leaderboard before December 31. Historical patterns show tech fortunes can surge or stall quickly on single catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
交易量
$24,648
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader sentiment favors Sergey Brin for third-richest status at year-end due to Alphabet's resilient stock trajectory and AI infrastructure gains, positioning his fortune ahead of volatile peers amid recent market swings. Mark Zuckerberg trails closely as Meta's AI spending draws mixed Wall Street reactions and share-price dips erode momentum, while Jensen Huang benefits from Nvidia's semiconductor dominance yet faces similar tech-sector fluctuations. Jeff Bezos maintains steady Amazon-driven positioning, but the tight clustering around 35-45% implied odds highlights how earnings reports, AI investment narratives, and broader market sentiment could rapidly shift the leaderboard before December 31. Historical patterns show tech fortunes can surge or stall quickly on single catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
交易量
$24,648
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

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警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"12月31日的第三大富豪？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"谢尔盖·布林"，概率为 45%，其次是"马克·扎克伯格"，概率为 38%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 45¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 45%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"12月31日的第三大富豪？"已产生 $24.6K 的总交易量（自Jan 30, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"12月31日的第三大富豪？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"12月31日的第三大富豪？"的当前领先者是"谢尔盖·布林"，概率为 45%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 45%。紧随其后的结果是"马克·扎克伯格"，概率为 38%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"12月31日的第三大富豪？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。