The Pentagon's June 2026 update to its Section 1260H list of Chinese military companies, which added 65 entities including Alibaba, Baidu, BYD, NIO, Unitree Robotics, and RoboSense for ties to military-civil fusion via the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, serves as the key recent catalyst shaping trader views. This expansion to 188 total firms broadens coverage beyond traditional defense players into AI infrastructure, electric vehicles, semiconductors like CXMT and YMTC, lidar sensors, and humanoid robotics, following a withdrawn February attempt and building on 2025 additions such as Tencent. With the market resolving in mid-2027, further periodic DoD reviews, supply-chain restrictions taking effect that year, and US-China policy dynamics around tech exports and national security could drive additional designations in AI, autonomous systems, or biotech sectors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$85,221 交易量
2027-06-30
DeepSeek
30%
小米
16%
字节跳动
14%
$85,221 交易量
DeepSeek
$24,659 交易量
30%
小米
$29,454 交易量
16%
字节跳动
$31,108 交易量
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is added to the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying addition occurs when the specified company that was unnamed in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) appears on an updated official Section 1260H list.
A qualifying addition must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of addition.
Addition of a subsidiary or parent company of the specified company will qualify.
An addition will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.
For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the company is added but its status is unenforced, the addition will still qualify.
If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).The Pentagon's June 2026 update to its Section 1260H list of Chinese military companies, which added 65 entities including Alibaba, Baidu, BYD, NIO, Unitree Robotics, and RoboSense for ties to military-civil fusion via the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, serves as the key recent catalyst shaping trader views. This expansion to 188 total firms broadens coverage beyond traditional defense players into AI infrastructure, electric vehicles, semiconductors like CXMT and YMTC, lidar sensors, and humanoid robotics, following a withdrawn February attempt and building on 2025 additions such as Tencent. With the market resolving in mid-2027, further periodic DoD reviews, supply-chain restrictions taking effect that year, and US-China policy dynamics around tech exports and national security could drive additional designations in AI, autonomous systems, or biotech sectors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is added to the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying addition occurs when the specified company that was unnamed in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) appears on an updated official Section 1260H list.
A qualifying addition must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of addition.
Addition of a subsidiary or parent company of the specified company will qualify.
An addition will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.
For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the company is added but its status is unenforced, the addition will still qualify.
If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).
A qualifying addition occurs when the specified company that was unnamed in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) appears on an updated official Section 1260H list.
A qualifying addition must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of addition.
Addition of a subsidiary or parent company of the specified company will qualify.
An addition will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.
For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the company is added but its status is unenforced, the addition will still qualify.
If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).
市场开放时间： Jul 13, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
交易量
$85,221结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
Jul 13, 2026, 7:42 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is added to the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying addition occurs when the specified company that was unnamed in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) appears on an updated official Section 1260H list.
A qualifying addition must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of addition.
Addition of a subsidiary or parent company of the specified company will qualify.
An addition will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.
For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the company is added but its status is unenforced, the addition will still qualify.
If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).The Pentagon's June 2026 update to its Section 1260H list of Chinese military companies, which added 65 entities including Alibaba, Baidu, BYD, NIO, Unitree Robotics, and RoboSense for ties to military-civil fusion via the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, serves as the key recent catalyst shaping trader views. This expansion to 188 total firms broadens coverage beyond traditional defense players into AI infrastructure, electric vehicles, semiconductors like CXMT and YMTC, lidar sensors, and humanoid robotics, following a withdrawn February attempt and building on 2025 additions such as Tencent. With the market resolving in mid-2027, further periodic DoD reviews, supply-chain restrictions taking effect that year, and US-China policy dynamics around tech exports and national security could drive additional designations in AI, autonomous systems, or biotech sectors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is added to the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying addition occurs when the specified company that was unnamed in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) appears on an updated official Section 1260H list.
A qualifying addition must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of addition.
Addition of a subsidiary or parent company of the specified company will qualify.
An addition will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.
For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the company is added but its status is unenforced, the addition will still qualify.
If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).
A qualifying addition occurs when the specified company that was unnamed in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) appears on an updated official Section 1260H list.
A qualifying addition must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of addition.
Addition of a subsidiary or parent company of the specified company will qualify.
An addition will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.
For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the company is added but its status is unenforced, the addition will still qualify.
If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).
交易量
$85,221结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
Jul 13, 2026, 7:42 PM ETThe Pentagon's June 2026 update to its Section 1260H list of Chinese military companies, which added 65 entities including Alibaba, Baidu, BYD, NIO, Unitree Robotics, and RoboSense for ties to military-civil fusion via the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, serves as the key recent catalyst shaping trader views. This expansion to 188 total firms broadens coverage beyond traditional defense players into AI infrastructure, electric vehicles, semiconductors like CXMT and YMTC, lidar sensors, and humanoid robotics, following a withdrawn February attempt and building on 2025 additions such as Tencent. With the market resolving in mid-2027, further periodic DoD reviews, supply-chain restrictions taking effect that year, and US-China policy dynamics around tech exports and national security could drive additional designations in AI, autonomous systems, or biotech sectors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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