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icon for 12月31日的第二大富豪？

12月31日的第二大富豪？

icon for 12月31日的第二大富豪？

12月31日的第二大富豪？

拉里·佩奇 48%

谢尔盖·布林 32.6%

史蒂夫·鲍尔默 25.0%

马克·扎克伯格 11.0%

Polymarket

$46,104 交易量

拉里·佩奇 48%

谢尔盖·布林 32.6%

史蒂夫·鲍尔默 25.0%

马克·扎克伯格 11.0%

Polymarket

$46,104 交易量

icon for 拉里·佩奇

拉里·佩奇

$21,063 交易量

68%

icon for 谢尔盖·布林

谢尔盖·布林

$7,498 交易量

33%

icon for 史蒂夫·鲍尔默

史蒂夫·鲍尔默

$1,193 交易量

25%

icon for 马克·扎克伯格

马克·扎克伯格

$592 交易量

10%

icon for 拉里·埃里森

拉里·埃里森

$913 交易量

10%

icon for 埃隆·马斯克

埃隆·马斯克

$896 交易量

5%

icon for 黄仁勋

黄仁勋

$1,410 交易量

21%

icon for 沃伦·巴菲特

沃伦·巴菲特

$1,887 交易量

22%

icon for 贝尔纳·阿尔诺

贝尔纳·阿尔诺

$905 交易量

22%

icon for 杰夫·贝索斯

杰夫·贝索斯

$9,746 交易量

34%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Larry Page holds the strongest market-implied odds at 68% to finish as the world's second-richest person by year-end, driven by Alphabet's steady stock performance amid heavy AI infrastructure spending and his position as the consistent runner-up behind Elon Musk. Jeff Bezos at 34% and Sergey Brin at 33% trail closely, with Amazon's retail automation push and AWS growth offering upside for Bezos while Brin's Alphabet stake tracks similar tech momentum. Jensen Huang's 25% reflects Nvidia's semiconductor dominance in the AI boom, though recent capex surges across hyperscalers introduce volatility. Traders weigh these outcomes against historical net-worth swings, upcoming earnings, and sector competition that could shift rankings before December 31.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
交易量
$46,104
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Larry Page holds the strongest market-implied odds at 68% to finish as the world's second-richest person by year-end, driven by Alphabet's steady stock performance amid heavy AI infrastructure spending and his position as the consistent runner-up behind Elon Musk. Jeff Bezos at 34% and Sergey Brin at 33% trail closely, with Amazon's retail automation push and AWS growth offering upside for Bezos while Brin's Alphabet stake tracks similar tech momentum. Jensen Huang's 25% reflects Nvidia's semiconductor dominance in the AI boom, though recent capex surges across hyperscalers introduce volatility. Traders weigh these outcomes against historical net-worth swings, upcoming earnings, and sector competition that could shift rankings before December 31.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
交易量
$46,104
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

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常见问题

"12月31日的第二大富豪？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"拉里·佩奇"，概率为 68%，其次是"杰夫·贝索斯"，概率为 34%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 68¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 68%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"12月31日的第二大富豪？"已产生 $46.1K 的总交易量（自Jan 30, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"12月31日的第二大富豪？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"12月31日的第二大富豪？"的当前领先者是"拉里·佩奇"，概率为 68%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 68%。紧随其后的结果是"杰夫·贝索斯"，概率为 34%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"12月31日的第二大富豪？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。