Trump’s long record of direct personal criticism in public statements continues to shape these daily Polymarket markets, with traders consistently pricing Yes outcomes near 100 percent on most dates. As president in 2026, he has targeted foreign leaders during summits and trade disputes, using nicknames or characterizations that meet the market criteria for insults. High trading volume across date-specific contracts reflects the “wisdom of crowds” assessment that such language remains frequent in speeches, social media posts, and media appearances. Key upcoming catalysts include scheduled addresses, press events, and diplomatic engagements that could trigger qualifying statements, while any shift in communication style would represent a notable departure from established patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$41,312 交易量
9月3日
74%
9月15日
93%
9月16日
92%
9月17日
87%
9月18日
88%
9月19日
87%
9月20日
85%
9月21日
88%
9月22日
92%
9月23日
85%
9月24日
83%
9月25日
46%
9月26日
88%
9月27日
92%
9月28日
86%
9月29日
87%
9月30日
87%
$41,312 交易量
9月3日
74%
9月15日
93%
9月16日
92%
9月17日
87%
9月18日
88%
9月19日
87%
9月20日
85%
9月21日
88%
9月22日
92%
9月23日
85%
9月24日
83%
9月25日
46%
9月26日
88%
9月27日
92%
9月28日
86%
9月29日
87%
9月30日
87%
A qualifying public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available on the specified date (ET). Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Sep 2, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
A qualifying public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available on the specified date (ET). Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Trump’s long record of direct personal criticism in public statements continues to shape these daily Polymarket markets, with traders consistently pricing Yes outcomes near 100 percent on most dates. As president in 2026, he has targeted foreign leaders during summits and trade disputes, using nicknames or characterizations that meet the market criteria for insults. High trading volume across date-specific contracts reflects the “wisdom of crowds” assessment that such language remains frequent in speeches, social media posts, and media appearances. Key upcoming catalysts include scheduled addresses, press events, and diplomatic engagements that could trigger qualifying statements, while any shift in communication style would represent a notable departure from established patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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