Democrats' anticipated gains in the 2026 midterm elections represent the central driver behind the 63% implied probability for impeachment before January 2029. Historical patterns show the president's party typically loses House seats in midterms, and current polling trends point to a likely Democratic majority that could advance articles of impeachment. Multiple resolutions have already been introduced citing issues such as executive actions on foreign policy, appropriations disputes, and election-related statements, while over seventy Democratic lawmakers have publicly called for proceedings or 25th Amendment consideration. Senate conviction would still require a two-thirds supermajority, creating a structural barrier even if the House acts, yet traders appear to price in the possibility of sustained partisan momentum through the remainder of the term.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
63% 機率
$89,702 交易量
$89,702 交易量
2029-01-20
是
63% 機率
$89,702 交易量
$89,702 交易量
2029-01-20
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats' anticipated gains in the 2026 midterm elections represent the central driver behind the 63% implied probability for impeachment before January 2029. Historical patterns show the president's party typically loses House seats in midterms, and current polling trends point to a likely Democratic majority that could advance articles of impeachment. Multiple resolutions have already been introduced citing issues such as executive actions on foreign policy, appropriations disputes, and election-related statements, while over seventy Democratic lawmakers have publicly called for proceedings or 25th Amendment consideration. Senate conviction would still require a two-thirds supermajority, creating a structural barrier even if the House acts, yet traders appear to price in the possibility of sustained partisan momentum through the remainder of the term.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
交易量
$89,702結束日期
2029-01-20市場開放時間
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats' anticipated gains in the 2026 midterm elections represent the central driver behind the 63% implied probability for impeachment before January 2029. Historical patterns show the president's party typically loses House seats in midterms, and current polling trends point to a likely Democratic majority that could advance articles of impeachment. Multiple resolutions have already been introduced citing issues such as executive actions on foreign policy, appropriations disputes, and election-related statements, while over seventy Democratic lawmakers have publicly called for proceedings or 25th Amendment consideration. Senate conviction would still require a two-thirds supermajority, creating a structural barrier even if the House acts, yet traders appear to price in the possibility of sustained partisan momentum through the remainder of the term.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
交易量
$89,702結束日期
2029-01-20市場開放時間
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democrats' anticipated gains in the 2026 midterm elections represent the central driver behind the 63% implied probability for impeachment before January 2029. Historical patterns show the president's party typically loses House seats in midterms, and current polling trends point to a likely Democratic majority that could advance articles of impeachment. Multiple resolutions have already been introduced citing issues such as executive actions on foreign policy, appropriations disputes, and election-related statements, while over seventy Democratic lawmakers have publicly called for proceedings or 25th Amendment consideration. Senate conviction would still require a two-thirds supermajority, creating a structural barrier even if the House acts, yet traders appear to price in the possibility of sustained partisan momentum through the remainder of the term.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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