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icon for 特朗普會在任期結束前被彈劾嗎？
政治·賺取4%

特朗普會在任期結束前被彈劾嗎？

icon for 特朗普會在任期結束前被彈劾嗎？
政治·賺取4%

特朗普會在任期結束前被彈劾嗎？

12月 31

1月 20, 2029

12月 31

1月 20, 2029

是

63% 機率
Polymarket

$89,702 交易量

是

63% 機率
Polymarket

$89,702 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus at 63% for impeachment before January 2029 centers on the November 2026 midterms and prospects for a Democratic House majority. Republican control of Congress currently blocks articles of impeachment, yet historical patterns show divided government often triggers such proceedings. Trump has publicly warned that midterm losses would lead Democrats to pursue impeachment, while earlier 2026 calls from over 70 House Democrats tied to the Iran conflict highlighted partisan momentum. Low odds for near-term action reflect the need for electoral shifts, with any post-2026 House flip enabling floor votes on articles well before term's end. Scheduled legislative sessions and confirmation dynamics add limited near-term pressure.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
交易量
$89,702
結束日期
2029-01-20
市場開放時間
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus at 63% for impeachment before January 2029 centers on the November 2026 midterms and prospects for a Democratic House majority. Republican control of Congress currently blocks articles of impeachment, yet historical patterns show divided government often triggers such proceedings. Trump has publicly warned that midterm losses would lead Democrats to pursue impeachment, while earlier 2026 calls from over 70 House Democrats tied to the Iran conflict highlighted partisan momentum. Low odds for near-term action reflect the need for electoral shifts, with any post-2026 House flip enabling floor votes on articles well before term's end. Scheduled legislative sessions and confirmation dynamics add limited near-term pressure.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
交易量
$89,702
結束日期
2029-01-20
市場開放時間
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普會在任期結束前被彈劾嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "特朗普會在任期結束前被彈劾嗎？" at 63%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "特朗普會在任期結束前被彈劾嗎？" has generated $89.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "特朗普會在任期結束前被彈劾嗎？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "特朗普會在任期結束前被彈劾嗎？" is "特朗普會在任期結束前被彈劾嗎？" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "特朗普會在任期結束前被彈劾嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.