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icon for Khamenei # posts 2026年8月21日至28日?

Khamenei # posts 2026年8月21日至28日?

icon for Khamenei # posts 2026年8月21日至28日?

Khamenei # posts 2026年8月21日至28日?

<5 69%

40-44 53%

45-49 53%

50-54 46%

Polymarket
最新

<5 69%

40-44 53%

45-49 53%

50-54 46%

Polymarket
最新

<5

$12 交易量

64%

5-9

$0 交易量

28%

10-14

$0 交易量

27%

15-19

$0 交易量

27%

20-24

$0 交易量

27%

25-29

$0 交易量

27%

30-34

$0 交易量

28%

35-39

$0 交易量

26%

40-44

$5 交易量

53%

45-49

$5 交易量

53%

50-54

$5 交易量

46%

55-59

$5 交易量

46%

60+

$5 交易量

46%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader since March 2026, maintains limited direct activity on X.** His official accounts (@MKhamenei_ir and affiliated channels) issue statements tied to formal announcements, speeches, or state media rather than frequent personal posts. Recent developments, including military appointments on August 9–10 and the release of a short undated video on August 10, show measured public engagement amid ongoing regional tensions and domestic security measures. No major diplomatic summits, elections, or crises are scheduled for August 21–28 that would typically trigger heightened output. Trader consensus on low-volume bins aligns with his pattern of sparse, event-driven messaging since taking office, reflecting institutional caution and a preference for official channels over daily social media activity.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$37
結束日期
2026-08-28
市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader since March 2026, maintains limited direct activity on X.** His official accounts (@MKhamenei_ir and affiliated channels) issue statements tied to formal announcements, speeches, or state media rather than frequent personal posts. Recent developments, including military appointments on August 9–10 and the release of a short undated video on August 10, show measured public engagement amid ongoing regional tensions and domestic security measures. No major diplomatic summits, elections, or crises are scheduled for August 21–28 that would typically trigger heightened output. Trader consensus on low-volume bins aligns with his pattern of sparse, event-driven messaging since taking office, reflecting institutional caution and a preference for official channels over daily social media activity.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$37
結束日期
2026-08-28
市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # posts 2026年8月21日至28日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<5" at 64%, followed by "5-9" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Khamenei # posts 2026年8月21日至28日?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Khamenei # posts 2026年8月21日至28日?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # posts 2026年8月21日至28日?" is "<5" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5-9" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # posts 2026年8月21日至28日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.