Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei’s official accounts issue statements tied to formal appointments, military directives, and policy shifts rather than routine daily updates. Recent early-August 2026 actions—including senior IRGC and Armed Forces command changes plus a doctrinal shift toward hybrid warfare—produced limited official releases, consistent with the account’s established pattern of infrequent posting. Traders therefore assign the highest probability (51.5%) to fewer than five posts during the August 18–25 window, followed by 5–9 posts (26.5%), reflecting the low baseline frequency observed in comparable prior periods and the absence of scheduled high-volume events within the resolution timeframe.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Khamenei # posts 2026年8月18日至8月25日？
Khamenei # posts 2026年8月18日至8月25日？
<5 53%
5-9 27%
30-34 14.8%
20-24 14.5%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
<5
53%
5-9
27%
10-14
14%
15-19
12%
20-24
15%
25-29
12%
30-34
15%
35-39
12%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 53%
5-9 27%
30-34 14.8%
20-24 14.5%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
<5
$1,633 交易量
53%
5-9
$235 交易量
27%
10-14
$10 交易量
14%
15-19
$5 交易量
12%
20-24
$5 交易量
15%
25-29
$5 交易量
12%
30-34
$5 交易量
15%
35-39
$5 交易量
12%
40-44
$10 交易量
1%
45-49
$10 交易量
1%
50-54
$5 交易量
1%
55-59
$5 交易量
1%
60+
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei’s official accounts issue statements tied to formal appointments, military directives, and policy shifts rather than routine daily updates. Recent early-August 2026 actions—including senior IRGC and Armed Forces command changes plus a doctrinal shift toward hybrid warfare—produced limited official releases, consistent with the account’s established pattern of infrequent posting. Traders therefore assign the highest probability (51.5%) to fewer than five posts during the August 18–25 window, followed by 5–9 posts (26.5%), reflecting the low baseline frequency observed in comparable prior periods and the absence of scheduled high-volume events within the resolution timeframe.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$1,937結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei’s official accounts issue statements tied to formal appointments, military directives, and policy shifts rather than routine daily updates. Recent early-August 2026 actions—including senior IRGC and Armed Forces command changes plus a doctrinal shift toward hybrid warfare—produced limited official releases, consistent with the account’s established pattern of infrequent posting. Traders therefore assign the highest probability (51.5%) to fewer than five posts during the August 18–25 window, followed by 5–9 posts (26.5%), reflecting the low baseline frequency observed in comparable prior periods and the absence of scheduled high-volume events within the resolution timeframe.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$1,937結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei’s official accounts issue statements tied to formal appointments, military directives, and policy shifts rather than routine daily updates. Recent early-August 2026 actions—including senior IRGC and Armed Forces command changes plus a doctrinal shift toward hybrid warfare—produced limited official releases, consistent with the account’s established pattern of infrequent posting. Traders therefore assign the highest probability (51.5%) to fewer than five posts during the August 18–25 window, followed by 5–9 posts (26.5%), reflecting the low baseline frequency observed in comparable prior periods and the absence of scheduled high-volume events within the resolution timeframe.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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