Wisconsin's 4th congressional district covers Milwaukee and its urban and inner-suburban areas, where voter registration, turnout patterns, and presidential voting history produce a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26. Incumbent Democrat Gwen Moore, the state's longest-serving House member, advanced easily from the August 11 primary and enters the November general against Republican Tim Rogers with a record of winning prior contests by margins exceeding 40 points. These structural advantages, reinforced by the district's demographics and consistent Democratic performance in statewide races, underpin the current trader consensus. A shift would require an unprecedented scandal, major health event affecting the nominee, or court-ordered redistricting outside the standard post-census cycle, none of which appear imminent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$33,532 交易量
$33,532 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
99%
共和黨
1%
$33,532 交易量
$33,532 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$12,352 交易量
99%
共和黨
$21,180 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 4th congressional district covers Milwaukee and its urban and inner-suburban areas, where voter registration, turnout patterns, and presidential voting history produce a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26. Incumbent Democrat Gwen Moore, the state's longest-serving House member, advanced easily from the August 11 primary and enters the November general against Republican Tim Rogers with a record of winning prior contests by margins exceeding 40 points. These structural advantages, reinforced by the district's demographics and consistent Democratic performance in statewide races, underpin the current trader consensus. A shift would require an unprecedented scandal, major health event affecting the nominee, or court-ordered redistricting outside the standard post-census cycle, none of which appear imminent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$33,532結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 4th congressional district covers Milwaukee and its urban and inner-suburban areas, where voter registration, turnout patterns, and presidential voting history produce a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26. Incumbent Democrat Gwen Moore, the state's longest-serving House member, advanced easily from the August 11 primary and enters the November general against Republican Tim Rogers with a record of winning prior contests by margins exceeding 40 points. These structural advantages, reinforced by the district's demographics and consistent Democratic performance in statewide races, underpin the current trader consensus. A shift would require an unprecedented scandal, major health event affecting the nominee, or court-ordered redistricting outside the standard post-census cycle, none of which appear imminent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,532結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 4th congressional district covers Milwaukee and its urban and inner-suburban areas, where voter registration, turnout patterns, and presidential voting history produce a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26. Incumbent Democrat Gwen Moore, the state's longest-serving House member, advanced easily from the August 11 primary and enters the November general against Republican Tim Rogers with a record of winning prior contests by margins exceeding 40 points. These structural advantages, reinforced by the district's demographics and consistent Democratic performance in statewide races, underpin the current trader consensus. A shift would require an unprecedented scandal, major health event affecting the nominee, or court-ordered redistricting outside the standard post-census cycle, none of which appear imminent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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