Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing with the SEC in June 2026, followed by July investor meetings targeting a potential October debut, has driven strong trader consensus toward a Nasdaq listing at 89% implied probability. Most large artificial intelligence companies, including recent high-profile debuts, select Nasdaq for its technology-sector visibility, liquidity, and alignment with growth-oriented benchmarks rather than the NYSE. Reports explicitly reference Nasdaq as the planned venue, while the lower 15% odds on NYSE reflect its rarer use for AI firms and the 10% “other” bucket captures any remote possibility of delays or alternative structures. The company has not confirmed exact timing or exchange, leaving room for shifts tied to market conditions or regulatory review.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於納斯達克 89%
紐約證券交易所 15%
其他 10%
納斯達克
89%
紐約證券交易所
15%
其他
10%
納斯達克 89%
紐約證券交易所 15%
其他 10%
納斯達克
89%
紐約證券交易所
15%
其他
10%
For purposes of this market, “NASDAQ” includes all listing tiers of The Nasdaq Stock Market, including the Nasdaq Global Select Market, Nasdaq Global Market, and Nasdaq Capital Market. “NYSE” includes the New York Stock Exchange and other U.S. equity listing exchanges operated under the NYSE brand, including NYSE American, NYSE Arca, and NYSE Texas.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where Anthropic's shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic becomes publicly traded through a merger, SPAC transaction, reverse merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Anthropic lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If Anthropic lists primarily on an exchange other than the Nasdaq Stock Market or the New York Stock Exchange, or if its shares do not begin regular-way public trading through an IPO or direct listing by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Anthropic or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Aug 19, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For purposes of this market, “NASDAQ” includes all listing tiers of The Nasdaq Stock Market, including the Nasdaq Global Select Market, Nasdaq Global Market, and Nasdaq Capital Market. “NYSE” includes the New York Stock Exchange and other U.S. equity listing exchanges operated under the NYSE brand, including NYSE American, NYSE Arca, and NYSE Texas.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where Anthropic's shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic becomes publicly traded through a merger, SPAC transaction, reverse merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Anthropic lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If Anthropic lists primarily on an exchange other than the Nasdaq Stock Market or the New York Stock Exchange, or if its shares do not begin regular-way public trading through an IPO or direct listing by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Anthropic or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing with the SEC in June 2026, followed by July investor meetings targeting a potential October debut, has driven strong trader consensus toward a Nasdaq listing at 89% implied probability. Most large artificial intelligence companies, including recent high-profile debuts, select Nasdaq for its technology-sector visibility, liquidity, and alignment with growth-oriented benchmarks rather than the NYSE. Reports explicitly reference Nasdaq as the planned venue, while the lower 15% odds on NYSE reflect its rarer use for AI firms and the 10% “other” bucket captures any remote possibility of delays or alternative structures. The company has not confirmed exact timing or exchange, leaving room for shifts tied to market conditions or regulatory review.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions