Official rainfall measurements from National Weather Service automated stations and cooperative observers determine Polymarket resolution for specific cities on August 22, with data typically finalized within 24–48 hours after the calendar day ends. Traders track short-term model consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs, which highlight steering patterns, frontal boundaries, and moisture transport that concentrate precipitation in regions such as the Gulf Coast or mid-Atlantic. Historical climatology shows August convective activity often peaks in the Southeast due to sea-breeze convergence and tropical moisture, while western and northern areas remain drier under subsidence. Any late revisions to gauge reports or quality-control flags from NOAA can shift implied probabilities in low-volume markets before final settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日哪裏會下雨?
$10,915 交易量

紐約,紐約
否

洛杉磯,加利福尼亞
否

芝加哥,伊利諾伊州
否

休斯頓,德克薩斯州
否

達拉斯,德克薩斯州
否

亞利桑那州鳳凰城
否

費城,賓夕法尼亞州
是

丹佛,科羅拉多州
是

華盛頓特區
是

亞特蘭大,喬治亞州
否

邁阿密,佛羅里達州
否

華盛頓州西雅圖
否

馬薩諸塞州波士頓
否

紐奧良,路易斯安那州
否

舊金山,加利福尼亞
否
$10,915 交易量

紐約,紐約
否

洛杉磯,加利福尼亞
否

芝加哥,伊利諾伊州
否

休斯頓,德克薩斯州
否

達拉斯,德克薩斯州
否

亞利桑那州鳳凰城
否

費城,賓夕法尼亞州
是

丹佛,科羅拉多州
是

華盛頓特區
是

亞特蘭大,喬治亞州
否

邁阿密,佛羅里達州
否

華盛頓州西雅圖
否

馬薩諸塞州波士頓
否

紐奧良,路易斯安那州
否

舊金山,加利福尼亞
否
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official rainfall measurements from National Weather Service automated stations and cooperative observers determine Polymarket resolution for specific cities on August 22, with data typically finalized within 24–48 hours after the calendar day ends. Traders track short-term model consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs, which highlight steering patterns, frontal boundaries, and moisture transport that concentrate precipitation in regions such as the Gulf Coast or mid-Atlantic. Historical climatology shows August convective activity often peaks in the Southeast due to sea-breeze convergence and tropical moisture, while western and northern areas remain drier under subsidence. Any late revisions to gauge reports or quality-control flags from NOAA can shift implied probabilities in low-volume markets before final settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions