Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5% and softening demand continue to anchor trader sentiment toward the <$419K outcome at 64.7% implied probability for the September 30 median home value. Recent data show prices peaked in June before dipping, with NAR's existing-home median falling to $434,100 in July from $442,800 the prior month, while Zillow's typical value held near $372K with only 1% year-over-year growth. Rising inventory and affordability constraints have slowed appreciation, producing a market-implied path of stabilization or modest decline rather than renewed gains. Key near-term catalysts include September housing releases and any shifts in Fed policy expectations that could influence borrowing costs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於低於$419K 64.7%
419,000美元 - 426,000美元 27.6%
426,000美元 - 433,000美元 6.9%
$433K - $440K 2.6%
$77,275 交易量
$77,275 交易量
2026-09-29
低於$419K
65%
419,000美元 - 426,000美元
28%
426,000美元 - 433,000美元
7%
$433K - $440K
3%
$440K - $447K
<1%
$447K - $454K
<1%
454,000美元以上
<1%
低於$419K 64.7%
419,000美元 - 426,000美元 27.6%
426,000美元 - 433,000美元 6.9%
$433K - $440K 2.6%
$77,275 交易量
$77,275 交易量
2026-09-29
低於$419K
$23,936 交易量
65%
419,000美元 - 426,000美元
$15,381 交易量
28%
426,000美元 - 433,000美元
$10,547 交易量
7%
$433K - $440K
$17,107 交易量
3%
$440K - $447K
$5,038 交易量
<1%
$447K - $454K
$4,389 交易量
<1%
454,000美元以上
$878 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5% and softening demand continue to anchor trader sentiment toward the <$419K outcome at 64.7% implied probability for the September 30 median home value. Recent data show prices peaked in June before dipping, with NAR's existing-home median falling to $434,100 in July from $442,800 the prior month, while Zillow's typical value held near $372K with only 1% year-over-year growth. Rising inventory and affordability constraints have slowed appreciation, producing a market-implied path of stabilization or modest decline rather than renewed gains. Key near-term catalysts include September housing releases and any shifts in Fed policy expectations that could influence borrowing costs.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
市場開放時間： Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
交易量
$77,275結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5% and softening demand continue to anchor trader sentiment toward the <$419K outcome at 64.7% implied probability for the September 30 median home value. Recent data show prices peaked in June before dipping, with NAR's existing-home median falling to $434,100 in July from $442,800 the prior month, while Zillow's typical value held near $372K with only 1% year-over-year growth. Rising inventory and affordability constraints have slowed appreciation, producing a market-implied path of stabilization or modest decline rather than renewed gains. Key near-term catalysts include September housing releases and any shifts in Fed policy expectations that could influence borrowing costs.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
交易量
$77,275結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETElevated mortgage rates near 6.5% and softening demand continue to anchor trader sentiment toward the <$419K outcome at 64.7% implied probability for the September 30 median home value. Recent data show prices peaked in June before dipping, with NAR's existing-home median falling to $434,100 in July from $442,800 the prior month, while Zillow's typical value held near $372K with only 1% year-over-year growth. Rising inventory and affordability constraints have slowed appreciation, producing a market-implied path of stabilization or modest decline rather than renewed gains. Key near-term catalysts include September housing releases and any shifts in Fed policy expectations that could influence borrowing costs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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