Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings for the Los Angeles metro, near $965,000 through July 2026 with only 0.9% year-over-year gains and flat month-to-month movement, anchor trader expectations for the September 30 median near current levels. Elevated mortgage rates near 6.65% continue to constrain buyer purchasing power and affordability, while persistent low inventory—down modestly year over year—and a balanced market with homes pending in about 22 days limit downside pressure. Modest local employment growth and seasonal patterns have produced stabilization rather than acceleration, consistent with the 36.5% and 24.2% implied probabilities on the $1.137–1.169 million brackets. No major data releases or policy shifts have emerged in the past month to alter this range before month-end resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$1.137M - $1.153M 37%
$1.153M - $1.169M 36.0%
低於$1,137萬 17.3%
$1.169M - $1.185M 7.3%
$59,093 交易量
$59,093 交易量
低於$1,137萬
17%
$1.137M - $1.153M
37%
$1.153M - $1.169M
24%
$1.169M - $1.185M
7%
$1.185M - $1.201M
6%
$1.201M - $1.216M
<1%
$1.216M以上
<1%
$1.137M - $1.153M 37%
$1.153M - $1.169M 36.0%
低於$1,137萬 17.3%
$1.169M - $1.185M 7.3%
$59,093 交易量
$59,093 交易量
低於$1,137萬
17%
$1.137M - $1.153M
37%
$1.153M - $1.169M
24%
$1.169M - $1.185M
7%
$1.185M - $1.201M
6%
$1.201M - $1.216M
<1%
$1.216M以上
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)
市場開放時間: Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)
Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings for the Los Angeles metro, near $965,000 through July 2026 with only 0.9% year-over-year gains and flat month-to-month movement, anchor trader expectations for the September 30 median near current levels. Elevated mortgage rates near 6.65% continue to constrain buyer purchasing power and affordability, while persistent low inventory—down modestly year over year—and a balanced market with homes pending in about 22 days limit downside pressure. Modest local employment growth and seasonal patterns have produced stabilization rather than acceleration, consistent with the 36.5% and 24.2% implied probabilities on the $1.137–1.169 million brackets. No major data releases or policy shifts have emerged in the past month to alter this range before month-end resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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