Recent Miami-Dade housing data through August 2026 show single-family median sale prices holding near $685,000–$695,000 with modest year-over-year gains, while condo medians remain lower around $400,000 amid elevated inventory and a buyer-leaning market. Zillow Home Value Index figures for the county stand near $524,000, reflecting flat-to-slightly negative trends, yet the 60.5% market-implied probability on the $1.089M–$1.125M bin indicates trader consensus that September closings will incorporate a larger share of higher-value transactions or specific index methodology adjustments. Tightening supply in premium segments, resilient luxury sales volume, and proximity to the September 30 resolution date are the dominant factors anchoring these odds, with limited near-term catalysts expected to shift the distribution before month-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$1.089M - $1.125M 60%
$1.125M - $1.161M 25.7%
$1.053M - $1.089M 10%
$1.196M+ 4.1%
$69,393 交易量
$69,393 交易量
低於1,017,000美元
1%
$1.017M - $1.053M
4%
$1.053M - $1.089M
10%
$1.089M - $1.125M
60%
$1.125M - $1.161M
26%
$1.161M - $1.196M
2%
$1.196M+
4%
$1.089M - $1.125M 60%
$1.125M - $1.161M 25.7%
$1.053M - $1.089M 10%
$1.196M+ 4.1%
$69,393 交易量
$69,393 交易量
低於1,017,000美元
1%
$1.017M - $1.053M
4%
$1.053M - $1.089M
10%
$1.089M - $1.125M
60%
$1.125M - $1.161M
26%
$1.161M - $1.196M
2%
$1.196M+
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
市場開放時間: Jul 1, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
Recent Miami-Dade housing data through August 2026 show single-family median sale prices holding near $685,000–$695,000 with modest year-over-year gains, while condo medians remain lower around $400,000 amid elevated inventory and a buyer-leaning market. Zillow Home Value Index figures for the county stand near $524,000, reflecting flat-to-slightly negative trends, yet the 60.5% market-implied probability on the $1.089M–$1.125M bin indicates trader consensus that September closings will incorporate a larger share of higher-value transactions or specific index methodology adjustments. Tightening supply in premium segments, resilient luxury sales volume, and proximity to the September 30 resolution date are the dominant factors anchoring these odds, with limited near-term catalysts expected to shift the distribution before month-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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