Elevated mortgage rates near 6.7% on 30-year fixed loans, combined with mixed local demand signals from federal workforce reductions, have anchored DC metro median home values near the $524K–$536K range in recent data, producing closely matched probabilities across the leading bins. August 2026 median listing prices stood at $565,000 for the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria CBSA, while Zillow Home Value Index readings for the District hovered around $577,000 with modest year-over-year declines. Detached segments posted modest gains amid stable inventory, but condo softness and elevated months of supply introduced downside risks, while any late Fed easing or seasonal sales momentum could support the upper bins. Traders price in this narrow band as the September 30 resolution nears, reflecting real-capital consensus on persistent affordability constraints rather than a decisive directional catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$530K - $536K 27.8%
$524K－$530K 27.7%
$518K - $524K 18.7%
$536K - $542K 13.3%
$59,968 交易量
$59,968 交易量
2026-09-29
<$512K
1%
$512K - $518K
11%
$518K - $524K
19%
$524K－$530K
28%
$530K - $536K
28%
$536K - $542K
13%
54.2萬美元以上
10%
$530K - $536K 27.8%
$524K－$530K 27.7%
$518K - $524K 18.7%
$536K - $542K 13.3%
$59,968 交易量
$59,968 交易量
2026-09-29
<$512K
$1,695 交易量
1%
$512K - $518K
$13,303 交易量
11%
$518K - $524K
$15,496 交易量
19%
$524K－$530K
$6,172 交易量
28%
$530K - $536K
$8,248 交易量
28%
$536K - $542K
$9,719 交易量
13%
54.2萬美元以上
$5,335 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.7% on 30-year fixed loans, combined with mixed local demand signals from federal workforce reductions, have anchored DC metro median home values near the $524K–$536K range in recent data, producing closely matched probabilities across the leading bins. August 2026 median listing prices stood at $565,000 for the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria CBSA, while Zillow Home Value Index readings for the District hovered around $577,000 with modest year-over-year declines. Detached segments posted modest gains amid stable inventory, but condo softness and elevated months of supply introduced downside risks, while any late Fed easing or seasonal sales momentum could support the upper bins. Traders price in this narrow band as the September 30 resolution nears, reflecting real-capital consensus on persistent affordability constraints rather than a decisive directional catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
市場開放時間： Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
交易量
$59,968結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.7% on 30-year fixed loans, combined with mixed local demand signals from federal workforce reductions, have anchored DC metro median home values near the $524K–$536K range in recent data, producing closely matched probabilities across the leading bins. August 2026 median listing prices stood at $565,000 for the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria CBSA, while Zillow Home Value Index readings for the District hovered around $577,000 with modest year-over-year declines. Detached segments posted modest gains amid stable inventory, but condo softness and elevated months of supply introduced downside risks, while any late Fed easing or seasonal sales momentum could support the upper bins. Traders price in this narrow band as the September 30 resolution nears, reflecting real-capital consensus on persistent affordability constraints rather than a decisive directional catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
交易量
$59,968結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETElevated mortgage rates near 6.7% on 30-year fixed loans, combined with mixed local demand signals from federal workforce reductions, have anchored DC metro median home values near the $524K–$536K range in recent data, producing closely matched probabilities across the leading bins. August 2026 median listing prices stood at $565,000 for the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria CBSA, while Zillow Home Value Index readings for the District hovered around $577,000 with modest year-over-year declines. Detached segments posted modest gains amid stable inventory, but condo softness and elevated months of supply introduced downside risks, while any late Fed easing or seasonal sales momentum could support the upper bins. Traders price in this narrow band as the September 30 resolution nears, reflecting real-capital consensus on persistent affordability constraints rather than a decisive directional catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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