Recent median home listing prices in New York City reached $689,000 as of June 2026, reflecting 6.16% annual growth amid tight inventory and steady buyer demand that supports the market-implied odds favoring the $663K–$689K range at 45.6%. Broader ZHVI and sale-price metrics from sources like Zillow and PropertyShark show values between $794,000 and $907,000, yet the Polymarket consensus clusters lower, consistent with listing-price benchmarks and modest appreciation trends continuing into September. Elevated mortgage rates near 6.3% and seasonal factors limit upside, while low supply prevents sharp declines, keeping the $636K–$663K band at 34.8% as the next most likely outcome. Traders are pricing in limited volatility before the September 30 resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$663K - $689K 45.6%
$636K - $663K 34.6%
$609K - $636K 6.1%
$555K - $582K 3.1%
$64,818 交易量
$64,818 交易量
2026-09-29
低於$555K
9%
$555K - $582K
3%
$582K - $609K
1%
$609K - $636K
8%
$636K - $663K
35%
$663K - $689K
46%
$689K以上
1%
$663K - $689K 45.6%
$636K - $663K 34.6%
$609K - $636K 6.1%
$555K - $582K 3.1%
$64,818 交易量
$64,818 交易量
2026-09-29
低於$555K
$1,096 交易量
9%
$555K - $582K
$2,516 交易量
3%
$582K - $609K
$1,036 交易量
1%
$609K - $636K
$8,914 交易量
8%
$636K - $663K
$33,899 交易量
35%
$663K - $689K
$9,103 交易量
46%
$689K以上
$8,254 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent median home listing prices in New York City reached $689,000 as of June 2026, reflecting 6.16% annual growth amid tight inventory and steady buyer demand that supports the market-implied odds favoring the $663K–$689K range at 45.6%. Broader ZHVI and sale-price metrics from sources like Zillow and PropertyShark show values between $794,000 and $907,000, yet the Polymarket consensus clusters lower, consistent with listing-price benchmarks and modest appreciation trends continuing into September. Elevated mortgage rates near 6.3% and seasonal factors limit upside, while low supply prevents sharp declines, keeping the $636K–$663K band at 34.8% as the next most likely outcome. Traders are pricing in limited volatility before the September 30 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
市場開放時間： Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
交易量
$64,818結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent median home listing prices in New York City reached $689,000 as of June 2026, reflecting 6.16% annual growth amid tight inventory and steady buyer demand that supports the market-implied odds favoring the $663K–$689K range at 45.6%. Broader ZHVI and sale-price metrics from sources like Zillow and PropertyShark show values between $794,000 and $907,000, yet the Polymarket consensus clusters lower, consistent with listing-price benchmarks and modest appreciation trends continuing into September. Elevated mortgage rates near 6.3% and seasonal factors limit upside, while low supply prevents sharp declines, keeping the $636K–$663K band at 34.8% as the next most likely outcome. Traders are pricing in limited volatility before the September 30 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
交易量
$64,818結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETRecent median home listing prices in New York City reached $689,000 as of June 2026, reflecting 6.16% annual growth amid tight inventory and steady buyer demand that supports the market-implied odds favoring the $663K–$689K range at 45.6%. Broader ZHVI and sale-price metrics from sources like Zillow and PropertyShark show values between $794,000 and $907,000, yet the Polymarket consensus clusters lower, consistent with listing-price benchmarks and modest appreciation trends continuing into September. Elevated mortgage rates near 6.3% and seasonal factors limit upside, while low supply prevents sharp declines, keeping the $636K–$663K band at 34.8% as the next most likely outcome. Traders are pricing in limited volatility before the September 30 resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions