**ABC World News Tonight with David Muir** continues to anchor trader expectations for the week’s top program, as the evening newscast has posted consistent 8+ million total viewers in recent Nielsen live-plus-same-day measurements and held the overall #1 spot for weeks amid the summer lull. With most scripted series in repeats or off-season and streaming titles like the new Lanterns and Outer Banks measured differently, linear news remains the primary driver of the highest single-program totals. Traders see limited upside from specials or sports in the Aug 17-23 window, keeping implied probabilities clustered across the 7–10 million brackets. Resolution hinges on final Nielsen numbers for the dominant newscast versus any surprise event spike, with the market reflecting tight uncertainty around typical summer news performance levels.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於#本週最受歡迎電視節目的觀看次數( 8月17日至23日)
950萬–1000萬 98%
少於700萬 26%
700萬–750萬 26%
750萬–800萬 26%
少於700萬
26%
700萬–750萬
26%
750萬–800萬
26%
800萬–850萬
26%
850萬–900萬
26%
900萬–950萬
26%
950萬–1000萬
98%
超過1,000萬
26%
950萬–1000萬 98%
少於700萬 26%
700萬–750萬 26%
750萬–800萬 26%
少於700萬
26%
700萬–750萬
26%
750萬–800萬
26%
800萬–850萬
26%
850萬–900萬
26%
900萬–950萬
26%
950萬–1000萬
98%
超過1,000萬
26%
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 17 - August 23.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 17 - August 23.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
**ABC World News Tonight with David Muir** continues to anchor trader expectations for the week’s top program, as the evening newscast has posted consistent 8+ million total viewers in recent Nielsen live-plus-same-day measurements and held the overall #1 spot for weeks amid the summer lull. With most scripted series in repeats or off-season and streaming titles like the new Lanterns and Outer Banks measured differently, linear news remains the primary driver of the highest single-program totals. Traders see limited upside from specials or sports in the Aug 17-23 window, keeping implied probabilities clustered across the 7–10 million brackets. Resolution hinges on final Nielsen numbers for the dominant newscast versus any surprise event spike, with the market reflecting tight uncertainty around typical summer news performance levels.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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警惕外部連結哦。
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