Skip to main content
icon for 佛蒙特州州長選舉獲勝者
政治·中期

佛蒙特州州長選舉獲勝者

icon for 佛蒙特州州長選舉獲勝者
政治·中期

佛蒙特州州長選舉獲勝者

Polymarket

$59,407 交易量

Polymarket

$59,407 交易量

icon for 共和黨

共和黨

$25,795 交易量

88%

icon for 民主黨

民主黨

$33,612 交易量

11%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott is seeking a sixth two-year term in the November 3, 2026, Vermont gubernatorial election after securing his party's nomination with over 98% in the August 11 primary. Democrat Amanda Janoo narrowly won her party's primary to become the challenger. Scott maintains strong trader consensus as the favorite due to his consistent electoral success, cross-party appeal in a state that supported Kamala Harris by double digits federally, and solid Republican race ratings from forecasters. Recent University of New Hampshire polling showed Scott ahead of Janoo, though with notable undecided voters, while his approval rating stood at 51% in June. Minor-party candidates, including a teenage independent, remain on the ballot but show limited impact in available surveys.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$59,407
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott is seeking a sixth two-year term in the November 3, 2026, Vermont gubernatorial election after securing his party's nomination with over 98% in the August 11 primary. Democrat Amanda Janoo narrowly won her party's primary to become the challenger. Scott maintains strong trader consensus as the favorite due to his consistent electoral success, cross-party appeal in a state that supported Kamala Harris by double digits federally, and solid Republican race ratings from forecasters. Recent University of New Hampshire polling showed Scott ahead of Janoo, though with notable undecided voters, while his approval rating stood at 51% in June. Minor-party candidates, including a teenage independent, remain on the ballot but show limited impact in available surveys.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$59,407
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

相關

icon for 民主黨會在2026年贏得康乃狄克州州長選舉嗎？

民主黨會在2026年贏得康乃狄克州州長選舉嗎？

96%
是
icon for 民主黨會在2026年贏得科羅拉多州州長選舉嗎？

民主黨會在2026年贏得科羅拉多州州長選舉嗎？

98%
是
icon for 民主黨會在2026年贏得麻薩諸塞州州長選舉嗎？

民主黨會在2026年贏得麻薩諸塞州州長選舉嗎？

96%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"佛蒙特州州長選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "共和黨" at 88%, followed by "民主黨" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "佛蒙特州州長選舉獲勝者" has generated $59.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "佛蒙特州州長選舉獲勝者," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "佛蒙特州州長選舉獲勝者" is "共和黨" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "民主黨" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "佛蒙特州州長選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.