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icon for 委內瑞拉石油通過...加入戰略石油儲備?

委內瑞拉石油通過...加入戰略石油儲備?

icon for 委內瑞拉石油通過...加入戰略石油儲備?

委內瑞拉石油通過...加入戰略石油儲備?

最新
2026-09-30
Polymarket

$1,910 交易量

Polymarket

9月30日

$856 交易量

3%

12月31日

$1,053 交易量

14%

On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify. The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-Venezuela energy agreements have positioned Venezuelan heavy crude as a potential feedstock for refilling the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, currently holding roughly 290 million barrels or about 40% of capacity near multi-decade lows after prior releases. Energy Secretary Chris Wright outlined a swap mechanism whereby U.S. companies would exchange dense, high-sulfur Venezuelan grades for lighter or medium domestic crude compatible with SPR caverns, avoiding direct storage challenges. Administration statements indicate possible deliveries as early as November, though ramping production from the 65-billion-barrel concession fields requires substantial infrastructure investment and time. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty around execution timelines, crude quality mismatches, and any policy shifts amid broader monetary policy and inventory dynamics.

On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.

The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify. The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,910
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify. The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-Venezuela energy agreements have positioned Venezuelan heavy crude as a potential feedstock for refilling the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, currently holding roughly 290 million barrels or about 40% of capacity near multi-decade lows after prior releases. Energy Secretary Chris Wright outlined a swap mechanism whereby U.S. companies would exchange dense, high-sulfur Venezuelan grades for lighter or medium domestic crude compatible with SPR caverns, avoiding direct storage challenges. Administration statements indicate possible deliveries as early as November, though ramping production from the 65-billion-barrel concession fields requires substantial infrastructure investment and time. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty around execution timelines, crude quality mismatches, and any policy shifts amid broader monetary policy and inventory dynamics.

On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.

The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify. The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,910
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 2:16 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"委內瑞拉石油通過...加入戰略石油儲備?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 14%, followed by "9月30日" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"委內瑞拉石油通過...加入戰略石油儲備?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "委內瑞拉石油通過...加入戰略石油儲備?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "委內瑞拉石油通過...加入戰略石油儲備?" is "12月31日" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "9月30日" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "委內瑞拉石油通過...加入戰略石油儲備?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.