The Trump administration has maintained a maximum pressure campaign on Cuba since January 2026, imposing an oil blockade after the U.S. intervention in Venezuela cut off Havana’s primary fuel supplier. Executive orders have authorized tariffs on third-country oil providers, sanctions on state-owned Cupet, and additional restrictions on energy and related sectors, with the stated goal of extracting concessions or prompting policy shifts. Limited Treasury licenses have permitted some private-sector Venezuelan oil resales, yet overall enforcement has tightened amid Cuba’s energy crisis and blackouts. Diplomatic signals remain sparse, with Russia and Mexico exploring workarounds and the UN highlighting humanitarian effects. Any relief announcement would require a clear shift in bilateral talks or U.S. licensing policy within the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$46,696 交易量
9月30日
17%
12月31日
31%
$46,696 交易量
9月30日
17%
12月31日
31%
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jun 22, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration has maintained a maximum pressure campaign on Cuba since January 2026, imposing an oil blockade after the U.S. intervention in Venezuela cut off Havana’s primary fuel supplier. Executive orders have authorized tariffs on third-country oil providers, sanctions on state-owned Cupet, and additional restrictions on energy and related sectors, with the stated goal of extracting concessions or prompting policy shifts. Limited Treasury licenses have permitted some private-sector Venezuelan oil resales, yet overall enforcement has tightened amid Cuba’s energy crisis and blackouts. Diplomatic signals remain sparse, with Russia and Mexico exploring workarounds and the UN highlighting humanitarian effects. Any relief announcement would require a clear shift in bilateral talks or U.S. licensing policy within the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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