Houthis seized Perim Island (also known as Mayyun) in the Bab al-Mandeb Strait on September 11, 2026, following a rapid coastal offensive that captured the port of Mocha the prior day and prompted pro-government forces to withdraw from the island and nearby Dhubab. The move completes Houthi control over Yemen’s western Red Sea coastline and the strait’s key chokepoint, which divides shipping channels and has grown more critical amid the US-Iran conflict and Saudi redirection of oil exports away from the Strait of Hormuz. Yemeni government sources indicate plans for a counteroffensive using aircraft and ground forces to retake lost territory, though analysts note the island’s defense challenges against amphibious operations and limited immediate external military support. Any reversal of Houthi control would likely require coordinated Saudi-backed advances or broader international naval involvement within the market’s resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
2026-09-30
9月30日
4%
10月31日
14%
12月31日
25%
$1,131 交易量
9月30日
$674 交易量
4%
10月31日
$20 交易量
14%
12月31日
$437 交易量
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Houthis seized Perim Island (also known as Mayyun) in the Bab al-Mandeb Strait on September 11, 2026, following a rapid coastal offensive that captured the port of Mocha the prior day and prompted pro-government forces to withdraw from the island and nearby Dhubab. The move completes Houthi control over Yemen’s western Red Sea coastline and the strait’s key chokepoint, which divides shipping channels and has grown more critical amid the US-Iran conflict and Saudi redirection of oil exports away from the Strait of Hormuz. Yemeni government sources indicate plans for a counteroffensive using aircraft and ground forces to retake lost territory, though analysts note the island’s defense challenges against amphibious operations and limited immediate external military support. Any reversal of Houthi control would likely require coordinated Saudi-backed advances or broader international naval involvement within the market’s resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ET
交易量
$1,131結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Houthis seized Perim Island (also known as Mayyun) in the Bab al-Mandeb Strait on September 11, 2026, following a rapid coastal offensive that captured the port of Mocha the prior day and prompted pro-government forces to withdraw from the island and nearby Dhubab. The move completes Houthi control over Yemen’s western Red Sea coastline and the strait’s key chokepoint, which divides shipping channels and has grown more critical amid the US-Iran conflict and Saudi redirection of oil exports away from the Strait of Hormuz. Yemeni government sources indicate plans for a counteroffensive using aircraft and ground forces to retake lost territory, though analysts note the island’s defense challenges against amphibious operations and limited immediate external military support. Any reversal of Houthi control would likely require coordinated Saudi-backed advances or broader international naval involvement within the market’s resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,131結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ETHouthis seized Perim Island (also known as Mayyun) in the Bab al-Mandeb Strait on September 11, 2026, following a rapid coastal offensive that captured the port of Mocha the prior day and prompted pro-government forces to withdraw from the island and nearby Dhubab. The move completes Houthi control over Yemen’s western Red Sea coastline and the strait’s key chokepoint, which divides shipping channels and has grown more critical amid the US-Iran conflict and Saudi redirection of oil exports away from the Strait of Hormuz. Yemeni government sources indicate plans for a counteroffensive using aircraft and ground forces to retake lost territory, though analysts note the island’s defense challenges against amphibious operations and limited immediate external military support. Any reversal of Houthi control would likely require coordinated Saudi-backed advances or broader international naval involvement within the market’s resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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