The Penghu County Magistrate race remains closely contested ahead of the November 28, 2026, vote because traders see a fragmented field where the DPP incumbent faces multiple opposition challengers, including KMT nominee Chen Chen-chung and independents such as Wu Shu-chin. Recent party nominations and a July 2026 KMT rally have solidified the main contenders without resolving potential vote-splitting among non-DPP candidates, while the incumbent's March pledge to seek reelection and the DPP's delayed final selection have kept the race fluid. Historical patterns of competitive magistrate contests in this outlying county, combined with limited polling data this far out, support the current tight implied probabilities and highlight how candidate coordination, turnout in key townships, or late developments could shift the balance before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於陳光復 36%
吳秀琴 29%
周倪安 10%
陳癸良 10%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
陳光復
36%
吳秀琴
29%
周倪安
10%
陳癸良
10%
許志富
7%
葉竹林
14%
陳光復 36%
吳秀琴 29%
周倪安 10%
陳癸良 10%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
陳光復
$80 交易量
36%
吳秀琴
$60 交易量
29%
周倪安
$120 交易量
10%
陳癸良
$74 交易量
10%
許志富
$347 交易量
7%
葉竹林
$40 交易量
14%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).The Penghu County Magistrate race remains closely contested ahead of the November 28, 2026, vote because traders see a fragmented field where the DPP incumbent faces multiple opposition challengers, including KMT nominee Chen Chen-chung and independents such as Wu Shu-chin. Recent party nominations and a July 2026 KMT rally have solidified the main contenders without resolving potential vote-splitting among non-DPP candidates, while the incumbent's March pledge to seek reelection and the DPP's delayed final selection have kept the race fluid. Historical patterns of competitive magistrate contests in this outlying county, combined with limited polling data this far out, support the current tight implied probabilities and highlight how candidate coordination, turnout in key townships, or late developments could shift the balance before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET
交易量
$721結束日期
2026-11-28市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).The Penghu County Magistrate race remains closely contested ahead of the November 28, 2026, vote because traders see a fragmented field where the DPP incumbent faces multiple opposition challengers, including KMT nominee Chen Chen-chung and independents such as Wu Shu-chin. Recent party nominations and a July 2026 KMT rally have solidified the main contenders without resolving potential vote-splitting among non-DPP candidates, while the incumbent's March pledge to seek reelection and the DPP's delayed final selection have kept the race fluid. Historical patterns of competitive magistrate contests in this outlying county, combined with limited polling data this far out, support the current tight implied probabilities and highlight how candidate coordination, turnout in key townships, or late developments could shift the balance before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$721結束日期
2026-11-28市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Penghu County Magistrate race remains closely contested ahead of the November 28, 2026, vote because traders see a fragmented field where the DPP incumbent faces multiple opposition challengers, including KMT nominee Chen Chen-chung and independents such as Wu Shu-chin. Recent party nominations and a July 2026 KMT rally have solidified the main contenders without resolving potential vote-splitting among non-DPP candidates, while the incumbent's March pledge to seek reelection and the DPP's delayed final selection have kept the race fluid. Historical patterns of competitive magistrate contests in this outlying county, combined with limited polling data this far out, support the current tight implied probabilities and highlight how candidate coordination, turnout in key townships, or late developments could shift the balance before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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