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icon for 第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數?

第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數?

icon for 第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數?

第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數?

9月 20

9月 20

2500–3000萬 26%

3,000–3,500 萬 19%

2000–2500萬 17%

3500–4000 萬 16%

Polymarket
最新

$16,941 交易量

2500–3000萬 26%

3,000–3,500 萬 19%

2000–2500萬 17%

3500–4000 萬 16%

Polymarket
最新

$16,941 交易量

少於 2000 萬

$4,650 交易量

12%

2000–2500萬

$2,794 交易量

17%

2500–3000萬

$1,267 交易量

26%

3,000–3,500 萬

$478 交易量

19%

3500–4000 萬

$715 交易量

16%

4,000–4,500萬

$1,477 交易量

7%

4,500萬+

$5,559 交易量

3%

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast's next YouTube video faces a fragmented day-one view market, with 25–30 million views holding the highest implied probability at 25.5 percent amid closely bunched alternatives. Trader consensus reflects the creator's historically strong but variable launch performance, driven by factors like video format, thumbnail optimization, and cross-platform promotion that can swing results by tens of millions. Recent patterns show big-budget challenges and celebrity collaborations often pushing toward the 30 million-plus range, while more standard uploads cluster lower, creating the tight distribution across bins. Key swing elements include pre-release teaser engagement, algorithmic push on release day, and competition from other trending content, leaving room for upside or downside surprises depending on the specific project details that emerge.

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
交易量
$16,941
結束日期
2026-09-20
市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 10:12 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast's next YouTube video faces a fragmented day-one view market, with 25–30 million views holding the highest implied probability at 25.5 percent amid closely bunched alternatives. Trader consensus reflects the creator's historically strong but variable launch performance, driven by factors like video format, thumbnail optimization, and cross-platform promotion that can swing results by tens of millions. Recent patterns show big-budget challenges and celebrity collaborations often pushing toward the 30 million-plus range, while more standard uploads cluster lower, creating the tight distribution across bins. Key swing elements include pre-release teaser engagement, algorithmic push on release day, and competition from other trending content, leaving room for upside or downside surprises depending on the specific project details that emerge.

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
交易量
$16,941
結束日期
2026-09-20
市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 10:12 AM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2500–3000萬" at 26%, followed by "3,000–3,500 萬" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數?" has generated $16.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數?" is "2500–3000萬" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "3,000–3,500 萬" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.