MrBeast's next YouTube video faces a fragmented day-one view market, with 25–30 million views holding the highest implied probability at 25.5 percent amid closely bunched alternatives. Trader consensus reflects the creator's historically strong but variable launch performance, driven by factors like video format, thumbnail optimization, and cross-platform promotion that can swing results by tens of millions. Recent patterns show big-budget challenges and celebrity collaborations often pushing toward the 30 million-plus range, while more standard uploads cluster lower, creating the tight distribution across bins. Key swing elements include pre-release teaser engagement, algorithmic push on release day, and competition from other trending content, leaving room for upside or downside surprises depending on the specific project details that emerge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數?
2500–3000萬 26%
3,000–3,500 萬 19%
2000–2500萬 17%
3500–4000 萬 16%
$16,941 交易量
$16,941 交易量
少於 2000 萬
12%
2000–2500萬
17%
2500–3000萬
26%
3,000–3,500 萬
19%
3500–4000 萬
16%
4,000–4,500萬
7%
4,500萬+
3%
2500–3000萬 26%
3,000–3,500 萬 19%
2000–2500萬 17%
3500–4000 萬 16%
$16,941 交易量
$16,941 交易量
少於 2000 萬
12%
2000–2500萬
17%
2500–3000萬
26%
3,000–3,500 萬
19%
3500–4000 萬
16%
4,000–4,500萬
7%
4,500萬+
3%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 17, 2026, 10:12 AM ET
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
MrBeast's next YouTube video faces a fragmented day-one view market, with 25–30 million views holding the highest implied probability at 25.5 percent amid closely bunched alternatives. Trader consensus reflects the creator's historically strong but variable launch performance, driven by factors like video format, thumbnail optimization, and cross-platform promotion that can swing results by tens of millions. Recent patterns show big-budget challenges and celebrity collaborations often pushing toward the 30 million-plus range, while more standard uploads cluster lower, creating the tight distribution across bins. Key swing elements include pre-release teaser engagement, algorithmic push on release day, and competition from other trending content, leaving room for upside or downside surprises depending on the specific project details that emerge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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