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icon for 2026年CMA年度歌曲

2026年CMA年度歌曲

icon for 2026年CMA年度歌曲

2026年CMA年度歌曲

Choosin' Texas(Ella Langley) 65%

Be Her(Ella Langley) 25%

Beautiful Things(Megan Moroney) 24%

Dry Spell(Kacey Musgraves) 15%

Polymarket
最新

Choosin' Texas(Ella Langley) 65%

Be Her(Ella Langley) 25%

Beautiful Things(Megan Moroney) 24%

Dry Spell(Kacey Musgraves) 15%

Polymarket
最新

Choosin' Texas(Ella Langley)

$40 交易量

79%

Be Her(Ella Langley)

$0 交易量

25%

Beautiful Things(Megan Moroney)

$0 交易量

24%

Dry Spell(Kacey Musgraves)

$0 交易量

15%

Gary(Stephen Wilson Jr.)

$0 交易量

14%

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year. If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ella Langley’s blockbuster “Choosin’ Texas” drives the market’s strong consensus, fueled by its record-setting run atop the Billboard Hot 100 and Hot Country Songs charts, co-writing credits with Miranda Lambert, and Langley’s leading nine CMA nominations announced September 10. The song’s commercial dominance and cultural resonance as a crossover smash give it clear momentum heading into the November 18 ceremony, where Song of the Year rewards songwriting craft over pure chart metrics. The other four nominees—“Be Her,” “Beautiful Things,” “Dry Spell,” and “Gary”—trail as credible but less dominant contenders, with Musgraves and Moroney drawing from established fanbases and critical acclaim while Stephen Wilson Jr.’s entry offers a narrative underdog angle. Traders appear to weigh Langley’s unprecedented year-over-year impact heavily against the typical spread in this category.

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year.

If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year. If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$40
結束日期
2026-11-19
市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year. If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ella Langley’s blockbuster “Choosin’ Texas” drives the market’s strong consensus, fueled by its record-setting run atop the Billboard Hot 100 and Hot Country Songs charts, co-writing credits with Miranda Lambert, and Langley’s leading nine CMA nominations announced September 10. The song’s commercial dominance and cultural resonance as a crossover smash give it clear momentum heading into the November 18 ceremony, where Song of the Year rewards songwriting craft over pure chart metrics. The other four nominees—“Be Her,” “Beautiful Things,” “Dry Spell,” and “Gary”—trail as credible but less dominant contenders, with Musgraves and Moroney drawing from established fanbases and critical acclaim while Stephen Wilson Jr.’s entry offers a narrative underdog angle. Traders appear to weigh Langley’s unprecedented year-over-year impact heavily against the typical spread in this category.

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year.

If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year. If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$40
結束日期
2026-11-19
市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年CMA年度歌曲" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Choosin' Texas(Ella Langley)" at 79%, followed by "Be Her(Ella Langley)" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2026年CMA年度歌曲" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2026年CMA年度歌曲," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年CMA年度歌曲" is "Choosin' Texas(Ella Langley)" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Be Her(Ella Langley)" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年CMA年度歌曲" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.