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icon for 紐約市長#職位2026年9月22日至9月29日?

紐約市長#職位2026年9月22日至9月29日?

icon for 紐約市長#職位2026年9月22日至9月29日?

紐約市長#職位2026年9月22日至9月29日?

20-39 82%

40-59 11%

小於20 1.7%

180-199 1.0%

Polymarket
最新

20-39 82%

40-59 11%

小於20 1.7%

180-199 1.0%

Polymarket
最新

小於20

$295 交易量

2%

20-39

$1,452 交易量

82%

40-59

$603 交易量

11%

60-79

$360 交易量

1%

80-99

$296 交易量

1%

100-119

$256 交易量

1%

120-139

$236 交易量

1%

140-159

$237 交易量

1%

160-179

$237 交易量

1%

180-199

$221 交易量

1%

200+

$221 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The official @NYCMayor account under Mayor Zohran Mamdani maintains a consistent posting cadence shaped by routine city announcements, executive actions, and public events.** Historical data from the first 100 days showed roughly 448 posts, reflecting daily updates on infrastructure, housing, and community outreach that align with an expected 20–39 posts over the eight-day window. Recent activity around the U20 Summit, UNGA preparations, pothole and street initiatives, and standard operational updates has sustained this volume without major disruptions or surges from breaking crises. Traders price the 20–39 bracket highest because it matches the administration’s established digital strategy of regular, targeted content rather than high-volume campaigns or low-activity lulls, with limited scheduled events likely to push totals outside this band during the period.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$4,413
結束日期
2026-09-29
市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The official @NYCMayor account under Mayor Zohran Mamdani maintains a consistent posting cadence shaped by routine city announcements, executive actions, and public events.** Historical data from the first 100 days showed roughly 448 posts, reflecting daily updates on infrastructure, housing, and community outreach that align with an expected 20–39 posts over the eight-day window. Recent activity around the U20 Summit, UNGA preparations, pothole and street initiatives, and standard operational updates has sustained this volume without major disruptions or surges from breaking crises. Traders price the 20–39 bracket highest because it matches the administration’s established digital strategy of regular, targeted content rather than high-volume campaigns or low-activity lulls, with limited scheduled events likely to push totals outside this band during the period.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$4,413
結束日期
2026-09-29
市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"紐約市長#職位2026年9月22日至9月29日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-39" at 82%, followed by "40-59" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"紐約市長#職位2026年9月22日至9月29日?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "紐約市長#職位2026年9月22日至9月29日?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "紐約市長#職位2026年9月22日至9月29日?" is "20-39" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40-59" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "紐約市長#職位2026年9月22日至9月29日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.