Russia's State Duma elections, scheduled for September 18–20 2026, feature a three-day voting format and expanded remote electronic voting in dozens of regions. Kremlin directives to regional administrations have set an explicit turnout target near 50 percent, a benchmark unchanged even as vote-share goals for United Russia were adjusted downward. State pollsters report declared intention levels around 66 percent, though awareness of the election date remains limited. Historical patterns in legislative contests, combined with administrative mobilization of public-sector employees and students, have positioned the 50–53 percent and 53–56 percent bands as the clearest consensus ranges among traders. No major late-breaking catalysts have altered these parameters in recent weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於50-53% 38%
53-56% 21.9%
62%+ 11.5%
59-62% 11.1%
$39,484 交易量
$39,484 交易量
<47%
4%
47-50%
8%
50-53%
38%
53-56%
22%
56-59%
11%
59-62%
11%
62%+
12%
50-53% 38%
53-56% 21.9%
62%+ 11.5%
59-62% 11.1%
$39,484 交易量
$39,484 交易量
<47%
4%
47-50%
8%
50-53%
38%
53-56%
22%
56-59%
11%
59-62%
11%
62%+
12%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
市場開放時間: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Russia's State Duma elections, scheduled for September 18–20 2026, feature a three-day voting format and expanded remote electronic voting in dozens of regions. Kremlin directives to regional administrations have set an explicit turnout target near 50 percent, a benchmark unchanged even as vote-share goals for United Russia were adjusted downward. State pollsters report declared intention levels around 66 percent, though awareness of the election date remains limited. Historical patterns in legislative contests, combined with administrative mobilization of public-sector employees and students, have positioned the 50–53 percent and 53–56 percent bands as the clearest consensus ranges among traders. No major late-breaking catalysts have altered these parameters in recent weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

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