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icon for 納爾遜曼德拉灣（伊麗莎白港）的下一任市長？
政治·南非

納爾遜曼德拉灣（伊麗莎白港）的下一任市長？

icon for 納爾遜曼德拉灣（伊麗莎白港）的下一任市長？
政治·南非

納爾遜曼德拉灣（伊麗莎白港）的下一任市長？

Retief Odendaal 36%

Andile Lungisa 21%

巴巴爾娃·洛比謝 11%

Sinawo Thambo 5.8%

Polymarket

$27,281 交易量

Retief Odendaal 36%

Andile Lungisa 21%

巴巴爾娃·洛比謝 11%

Sinawo Thambo 5.8%

Polymarket

$27,281 交易量

icon for Retief Odendaal

Retief Odendaal

$7,227 交易量

36%

icon for Andile Lungisa

Andile Lungisa

$6,116 交易量

21%

icon for 巴巴爾娃·洛比謝

巴巴爾娃·洛比謝

$7,164 交易量

11%

icon for Sinawo Thambo

Sinawo Thambo

$236 交易量

6%

icon for 旺迪希勒·吉傑卡

旺迪希勒·吉傑卡

$156 交易量

4%

icon for Siva Pillay

Siva Pillay

$545 交易量

2%

icon for 索拉尼·維拉

索拉尼·維拉

$1,330 交易量

2%

icon for 恩通比·納馬

恩通比·納馬

$3,400 交易量

<1%

icon for 布勒利瓦·馬法亞

布勒利瓦·馬法亞

$1,106 交易量

<1%

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Nelson Mandela Bay’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Nelson Mandela Bay Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments ahead of South Africa's November 4 local government elections have kept the Nelson Mandela Bay mayoral contest fragmented. Retief Odendaal, the Democratic Alliance candidate and former mayor, has highlighted persistent service delivery shortfalls—including 60% water losses, qualified audits, R2.08 billion in irregular expenditure, and widespread infrastructure failures—while positioning the DA for a potential coalition or outright win. Andile Lungisa, an ANC mayoral hopeful with branch and youth league support, faces internal party disputes over his candidate list placement, prompting a high court application and warnings of electoral setbacks for the ANC. Incumbent Babalwa Lobishe’s recent State of the Metro Address drew boycotts from coalition partners and opposition parties over costs and governance concerns amid ongoing financial and operational crises. These dynamics sustain close odds among leading contenders, with coalition negotiations and final voter turnout likely to determine separation.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Nelson Mandela Bay’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Nelson Mandela Bay Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Nelson Mandela Bay’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Nelson Mandela Bay Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$27,281
結束日期
2026-11-18
市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:58 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Nelson Mandela Bay’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Nelson Mandela Bay Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments ahead of South Africa's November 4 local government elections have kept the Nelson Mandela Bay mayoral contest fragmented. Retief Odendaal, the Democratic Alliance candidate and former mayor, has highlighted persistent service delivery shortfalls—including 60% water losses, qualified audits, R2.08 billion in irregular expenditure, and widespread infrastructure failures—while positioning the DA for a potential coalition or outright win. Andile Lungisa, an ANC mayoral hopeful with branch and youth league support, faces internal party disputes over his candidate list placement, prompting a high court application and warnings of electoral setbacks for the ANC. Incumbent Babalwa Lobishe’s recent State of the Metro Address drew boycotts from coalition partners and opposition parties over costs and governance concerns amid ongoing financial and operational crises. These dynamics sustain close odds among leading contenders, with coalition negotiations and final voter turnout likely to determine separation.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Nelson Mandela Bay’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Nelson Mandela Bay Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Nelson Mandela Bay’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Nelson Mandela Bay Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$27,281
結束日期
2026-11-18
市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:58 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"納爾遜曼德拉灣（伊麗莎白港）的下一任市長？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Retief Odendaal" at 36%, followed by "Andile Lungisa" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "納爾遜曼德拉灣（伊麗莎白港）的下一任市長？" has generated $27.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "納爾遜曼德拉灣（伊麗莎白港）的下一任市長？," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "納爾遜曼德拉灣（伊麗莎白港）的下一任市長？" is "Retief Odendaal" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Andile Lungisa" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "納爾遜曼德拉灣（伊麗莎白港）的下一任市長？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.