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政治·全球選舉

Next Mayor of Johannesburg?

icon for Next Mayor of Johannesburg?
政治·全球選舉

Next Mayor of Johannesburg?

Helen Zille 58%

法蘭克·奇卡內 28.7%

Herman Mashaba 5.2%

Kenny Kunene 4.2%

Polymarket

$81,584 交易量

Helen Zille 58%

法蘭克·奇卡內 28.7%

Herman Mashaba 5.2%

Kenny Kunene 4.2%

Polymarket

$81,584 交易量

icon for Helen Zille

Helen Zille

$27,879 交易量

58%

icon for 法蘭克·奇卡內

法蘭克·奇卡內

$15,789 交易量

29%

icon for Herman Mashaba

Herman Mashaba

$14,903 交易量

8%

icon for Kenny Kunene

Kenny Kunene

$2,484 交易量

4%

icon for Loyiso Masuku

Loyiso Masuku

$18,258 交易量

1%

icon for 大衛·馬庫拉

大衛·馬庫拉

$2,271 交易量

1%

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Helen Zille, the Democratic Alliance candidate, leads trader pricing following her high-profile campaign launch and series of infrastructure-focused stunts that have kept Johannesburg’s service delivery failures in the spotlight ahead of the November 4, 2026 municipal elections. ActionSA’s Herman Mashaba and potential ANC nominees such as Frank Chikane remain in contention, yet the ANC’s delayed candidate selection and internal nomination process have left the field open. The multi-party contest in South Africa’s largest metro favors coalition outcomes, with voter registration levels, turnout in key wards, and perceptions of governance competence continuing to shape implied probabilities. Recent manifesto events and cross-party defections have reinforced Zille’s positioning while underscoring the narrow margins that could still shift with late candidate announcements or registration drives.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$81,584
結束日期
2026-11-17
市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 7:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Helen Zille, the Democratic Alliance candidate, leads trader pricing following her high-profile campaign launch and series of infrastructure-focused stunts that have kept Johannesburg’s service delivery failures in the spotlight ahead of the November 4, 2026 municipal elections. ActionSA’s Herman Mashaba and potential ANC nominees such as Frank Chikane remain in contention, yet the ANC’s delayed candidate selection and internal nomination process have left the field open. The multi-party contest in South Africa’s largest metro favors coalition outcomes, with voter registration levels, turnout in key wards, and perceptions of governance competence continuing to shape implied probabilities. Recent manifesto events and cross-party defections have reinforced Zille’s positioning while underscoring the narrow margins that could still shift with late candidate announcements or registration drives.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$81,584
結束日期
2026-11-17
市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 7:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Mayor of Johannesburg?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Helen Zille" at 58%, followed by "法蘭克·奇卡內" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 58¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Mayor of Johannesburg?" has generated $81.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Mayor of Johannesburg?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Mayor of Johannesburg?" is "Helen Zille" at 58%, meaning the market assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "法蘭克·奇卡內" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Mayor of Johannesburg?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.