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icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
政治·法國

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
政治·法國

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

$157,200 交易量

2027-04-29
Polymarket

$157,200 交易量

Polymarket
icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$11,845 交易量

88%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$2,597 交易量

47%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$10,722 交易量

42%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$24,970 交易量

11%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$22,581 交易量

7%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$8,727 交易量

7%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$4,823 交易量

7%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$936 交易量

6%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$1,270 交易量

6%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$4,114 交易量

5%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$2,814 交易量

5%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,443 交易量

5%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$1,353 交易量

5%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$695 交易量

5%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,536 交易量

5%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$799 交易量

5%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$3,066 交易量

4%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$3,274 交易量

4%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$1,518 交易量

4%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$5,606 交易量

3%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$2,762 交易量

3%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$3,001 交易量

3%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$5,679 交易量

3%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$3,593 交易量

3%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$2,011 交易量

2%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,282 交易量

2%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$2,865 交易量

2%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$2,090 交易量

2%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$758 交易量

2%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$4,777 交易量

2%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$3,973 交易量

2%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$3,193 交易量

2%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$1,769 交易量

2%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$1,547 交易量

2%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$1,558 交易量

1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$1,541 交易量

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Marine Le Pen maintains a commanding lead in first-round polling for the April 2027 French presidential election, consistently projected at 33-36% amid widespread dissatisfaction with the outgoing Macron administration and a hollowed-out political center. This positions her as the near-certain qualifier for the runoff under France's two-round system. Jean-Luc Mélenchon frequently places second in tested scenarios at 15-17%, buoyed by a consolidated radical-left base and limited left-wing coordination, while Édouard Philippe trails closely in some matchups around 14-19%. Fragmentation among other centrist and right-of-center figures, including Gabriel Attal and Bruno Retailleau, reduces their prospects of reaching the top two. Le Pen's recent legal clearance to run has reinforced National Rally momentum, though voter turnout patterns and any late left-wing alliances remain key variables that could alter runoff pairings.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$157,200
結束日期
2027-04-30
市場開放時間
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Marine Le Pen maintains a commanding lead in first-round polling for the April 2027 French presidential election, consistently projected at 33-36% amid widespread dissatisfaction with the outgoing Macron administration and a hollowed-out political center. This positions her as the near-certain qualifier for the runoff under France's two-round system. Jean-Luc Mélenchon frequently places second in tested scenarios at 15-17%, buoyed by a consolidated radical-left base and limited left-wing coordination, while Édouard Philippe trails closely in some matchups around 14-19%. Fragmentation among other centrist and right-of-center figures, including Gabriel Attal and Bruno Retailleau, reduces their prospects of reaching the top two. Le Pen's recent legal clearance to run has reinforced National Rally momentum, though voter turnout patterns and any late left-wing alliances remain key variables that could alter runoff pairings.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$157,200
結束日期
2027-04-30
市場開放時間
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...

相關

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36%
是
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Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

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Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marine Le Pen" at 88%, followed by "Édouard Philippe" at 47%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" has generated $157.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" is "Marine Le Pen" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Édouard Philippe" at 47%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.