**Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges following his January 2026 capture in a U.S. military operation and transfer to federal custody in Brooklyn.** The case, with a June 2027 trial date, centers on allegations of long-running cocaine conspiracies and weapons violations carrying potential life terms. Defense motions due in early September 2026 seek dismissal on head-of-state immunity and jurisdictional grounds tied to the raid, with oral arguments scheduled for November. Traders assign the highest probability to no prison time, reflecting uncertainty over whether these challenges or other factors could end the prosecution before conviction. If the case advances to trial and guilty verdicts, outcomes in the 60+ year range gain support given the severity of the charges and precedents in similar narcotics cases. Argentina’s separate extradition request on crimes-against-humanity allegations adds another layer of procedural complexity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於無需服刑 45%
60+ 26%
20–40 14.4%
40–60 9.8%
$714,915 交易量
$714,915 交易量
2027-12-30
無需服刑
45%
少於20年
5%
20–40
14%
40–60
10%
60+
26%
無需服刑 45%
60+ 26%
20–40 14.4%
40–60 9.8%
$714,915 交易量
$714,915 交易量
2027-12-30
無需服刑
$439,021 交易量
45%
少於20年
$107,022 交易量
5%
20–40
$56,744 交易量
14%
40–60
$24,656 交易量
10%
60+
$87,473 交易量
26%
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges following his January 2026 capture in a U.S. military operation and transfer to federal custody in Brooklyn.** The case, with a June 2027 trial date, centers on allegations of long-running cocaine conspiracies and weapons violations carrying potential life terms. Defense motions due in early September 2026 seek dismissal on head-of-state immunity and jurisdictional grounds tied to the raid, with oral arguments scheduled for November. Traders assign the highest probability to no prison time, reflecting uncertainty over whether these challenges or other factors could end the prosecution before conviction. If the case advances to trial and guilty verdicts, outcomes in the 60+ year range gain support given the severity of the charges and precedents in similar narcotics cases. Argentina’s separate extradition request on crimes-against-humanity allegations adds another layer of procedural complexity.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
交易量
$714,915結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETVenezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges following his January 2026 capture in a U.S. military operation and transfer to federal custody in Brooklyn.** The case, with a June 2027 trial date, centers on allegations of long-running cocaine conspiracies and weapons violations carrying potential life terms. Defense motions due in early September 2026 seek dismissal on head-of-state immunity and jurisdictional grounds tied to the raid, with oral arguments scheduled for November. Traders assign the highest probability to no prison time, reflecting uncertainty over whether these challenges or other factors could end the prosecution before conviction. If the case advances to trial and guilty verdicts, outcomes in the 60+ year range gain support given the severity of the charges and precedents in similar narcotics cases. Argentina’s separate extradition request on crimes-against-humanity allegations adds another layer of procedural complexity.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$714,915結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET**Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges following his January 2026 capture in a U.S. military operation and transfer to federal custody in Brooklyn.** The case, with a June 2027 trial date, centers on allegations of long-running cocaine conspiracies and weapons violations carrying potential life terms. Defense motions due in early September 2026 seek dismissal on head-of-state immunity and jurisdictional grounds tied to the raid, with oral arguments scheduled for November. Traders assign the highest probability to no prison time, reflecting uncertainty over whether these challenges or other factors could end the prosecution before conviction. If the case advances to trial and guilty verdicts, outcomes in the 60+ year range gain support given the severity of the charges and precedents in similar narcotics cases. Argentina’s separate extradition request on crimes-against-humanity allegations adds another layer of procedural complexity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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