Current meteorological forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a nighttime minimum near 14°C for Toronto on August 29 under increasing cloud cover, moderate southwest winds, and a mild air mass that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's 96.5% implied probability for 14°C as the daily low, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows reach about 16.5°C but recent patterns favor slightly cooler readings. Traders appear to weigh confirmed observational trends and consensus model runs showing limited overnight drops below this threshold. Unexpected clearing skies or stronger cold advection could push temperatures toward 12–13°C, while persistent cloudiness and humidity might hold the minimum at 15°C or above.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日多倫多氣溫最低？
8月29日多倫多氣溫最低？
14°C 97%
12°C 4%
13°C 3%
9°C或以下 <1%
$2,520 交易量
$2,520 交易量
2026-08-29
9°C或以下
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
3%
14°C
97%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C或以上
<1%
14°C 97%
12°C 4%
13°C 3%
9°C或以下 <1%
$2,520 交易量
$2,520 交易量
2026-08-29
9°C或以下
$170 交易量
1%
10°C
$151 交易量
1%
11°C
$110 交易量
1%
12°C
$124 交易量
4%
13°C
$15 交易量
3%
14°C
$418 交易量
97%
15°C
$67 交易量
<1%
16°C
$101 交易量
<1%
17°C
$199 交易量
<1%
18°C
$83 交易量
<1%
19°C或以上
$1,082 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a nighttime minimum near 14°C for Toronto on August 29 under increasing cloud cover, moderate southwest winds, and a mild air mass that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's 96.5% implied probability for 14°C as the daily low, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows reach about 16.5°C but recent patterns favor slightly cooler readings. Traders appear to weigh confirmed observational trends and consensus model runs showing limited overnight drops below this threshold. Unexpected clearing skies or stronger cold advection could push temperatures toward 12–13°C, while persistent cloudiness and humidity might hold the minimum at 15°C or above.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$2,520結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a nighttime minimum near 14°C for Toronto on August 29 under increasing cloud cover, moderate southwest winds, and a mild air mass that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's 96.5% implied probability for 14°C as the daily low, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows reach about 16.5°C but recent patterns favor slightly cooler readings. Traders appear to weigh confirmed observational trends and consensus model runs showing limited overnight drops below this threshold. Unexpected clearing skies or stronger cold advection could push temperatures toward 12–13°C, while persistent cloudiness and humidity might hold the minimum at 15°C or above.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,520結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETCurrent meteorological forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a nighttime minimum near 14°C for Toronto on August 29 under increasing cloud cover, moderate southwest winds, and a mild air mass that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's 96.5% implied probability for 14°C as the daily low, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows reach about 16.5°C but recent patterns favor slightly cooler readings. Traders appear to weigh confirmed observational trends and consensus model runs showing limited overnight drops below this threshold. Unexpected clearing skies or stronger cold advection could push temperatures toward 12–13°C, while persistent cloudiness and humidity might hold the minimum at 15°C or above.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions