Recent model runs show significant divergence for Taipei’s minimum temperature on September 12, with some guidance indicating a possible cool-air intrusion from a passing disturbance or typhoon remnant that could drop overnight lows toward 21°C or below, while others maintain strong subtropical high influence supporting readings near or above 31°C. In Taipei’s subtropical basin setting during peak typhoon season, steering flows, moisture convergence, and orographic effects can rapidly alter boundary-layer temperatures and cloud cover, creating the observed near-even split in trader-implied odds between the cooler and hotter thresholds. Historical September climatology places typical overnight minima around 24–25°C, so resolution hinges on the next 48-hour updates from regional forecast centers tracking any westward-moving systems.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日臺北最低氣溫?
23°C 39%
27°C 39%
21°C或以下 34%
31°C或以上 34%
21°C或以下
34%
22°C
21%
23°C
39%
24°C
30%
25°C
31%
26°C
33%
27°C
39%
28°C
21%
29°C
19%
30°C
19%
31°C或以上
34%
23°C 39%
27°C 39%
21°C或以下 34%
31°C或以上 34%
21°C或以下
34%
22°C
21%
23°C
39%
24°C
30%
25°C
31%
26°C
33%
27°C
39%
28°C
21%
29°C
19%
30°C
19%
31°C或以上
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model runs show significant divergence for Taipei’s minimum temperature on September 12, with some guidance indicating a possible cool-air intrusion from a passing disturbance or typhoon remnant that could drop overnight lows toward 21°C or below, while others maintain strong subtropical high influence supporting readings near or above 31°C. In Taipei’s subtropical basin setting during peak typhoon season, steering flows, moisture convergence, and orographic effects can rapidly alter boundary-layer temperatures and cloud cover, creating the observed near-even split in trader-implied odds between the cooler and hotter thresholds. Historical September climatology places typical overnight minima around 24–25°C, so resolution hinges on the next 48-hour updates from regional forecast centers tracking any westward-moving systems.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions