Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate a Friday minimum in San Francisco around 58–60 °F, driven by a strengthening marine layer and persistent onshore westerly flow that limits radiative cooling overnight. Recent early-September warmth, including a 94 °F high on the 9th, has given way to this moderating pattern as high pressure builds offshore and allows stratus to return. Historical September lows average near 56 °F, but current guidance shows limited overnight clearing and steady 10–20 mph winds that support the market’s heaviest volume on the 60–61 °F bin. Updated model runs overnight and any shift in the marine inversion strength will be the next key inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山9月11日的最低溫度？
舊金山9月11日的最低溫度？
60-61°F 47%
華氏51度或以下 42%
54-55°F 38%
52-53°F 32%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
華氏51度或以下
42%
52-53°F
32%
54-55°F
38%
56-57°F
23%
58-59華氏度
28%
60-61°F
45%
62-63°F
24%
64-65°F
28%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
15%
華氏70度或以上
27%
60-61°F 47%
華氏51度或以下 42%
54-55°F 38%
52-53°F 32%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
華氏51度或以下
$0 交易量
42%
52-53°F
$0 交易量
32%
54-55°F
$0 交易量
38%
56-57°F
$0 交易量
23%
58-59華氏度
$27 交易量
28%
60-61°F
$123 交易量
45%
62-63°F
$34 交易量
24%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
28%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
15%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
15%
華氏70度或以上
$0 交易量
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate a Friday minimum in San Francisco around 58–60 °F, driven by a strengthening marine layer and persistent onshore westerly flow that limits radiative cooling overnight. Recent early-September warmth, including a 94 °F high on the 9th, has given way to this moderating pattern as high pressure builds offshore and allows stratus to return. Historical September lows average near 56 °F, but current guidance shows limited overnight clearing and steady 10–20 mph winds that support the market’s heaviest volume on the 60–61 °F bin. Updated model runs overnight and any shift in the marine inversion strength will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
交易量
$185結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 7:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate a Friday minimum in San Francisco around 58–60 °F, driven by a strengthening marine layer and persistent onshore westerly flow that limits radiative cooling overnight. Recent early-September warmth, including a 94 °F high on the 9th, has given way to this moderating pattern as high pressure builds offshore and allows stratus to return. Historical September lows average near 56 °F, but current guidance shows limited overnight clearing and steady 10–20 mph winds that support the market’s heaviest volume on the 60–61 °F bin. Updated model runs overnight and any shift in the marine inversion strength will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$185結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 7:29 AM ETForecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate a Friday minimum in San Francisco around 58–60 °F, driven by a strengthening marine layer and persistent onshore westerly flow that limits radiative cooling overnight. Recent early-September warmth, including a 94 °F high on the 9th, has given way to this moderating pattern as high pressure builds offshore and allows stratus to return. Historical September lows average near 56 °F, but current guidance shows limited overnight clearing and steady 10–20 mph winds that support the market’s heaviest volume on the 60–61 °F bin. Updated model runs overnight and any shift in the marine inversion strength will be the next key inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions