Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese meteorological agencies and international models, indicate overnight lows for Qingdao on September 11 near 17–20°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light southerly winds. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the coastal Shandong region, where moderating northerly flows from earlier in the week have given way to milder maritime air. Despite this consensus, market-implied odds heavily favor 12°C or below as the leading outcome, suggesting traders are weighting potential model divergences, rapid cooling from increased cloud cover, or localized measurement variations at official stations. Upcoming hourly updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日青島最低氣溫？
9月11日青島最低氣溫？
22°C或以上 56%
12°C或以下 47%
17°C 40%
19°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
12°C或以下
47%
13°C
23%
14°C
26%
15°C
22%
16°C
21%
17°C
40%
18°C
14%
19°C
40%
20°C
13%
21°C
13%
22°C或以上
56%
22°C或以上 56%
12°C或以下 47%
17°C 40%
19°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
12°C或以下
$43 交易量
47%
13°C
$0 交易量
23%
14°C
$0 交易量
26%
15°C
$0 交易量
22%
16°C
$1 交易量
21%
17°C
$63 交易量
40%
18°C
$0 交易量
14%
19°C
$0 交易量
40%
20°C
$0 交易量
13%
21°C
$0 交易量
13%
22°C或以上
$0 交易量
56%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese meteorological agencies and international models, indicate overnight lows for Qingdao on September 11 near 17–20°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light southerly winds. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the coastal Shandong region, where moderating northerly flows from earlier in the week have given way to milder maritime air. Despite this consensus, market-implied odds heavily favor 12°C or below as the leading outcome, suggesting traders are weighting potential model divergences, rapid cooling from increased cloud cover, or localized measurement variations at official stations. Upcoming hourly updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$108結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese meteorological agencies and international models, indicate overnight lows for Qingdao on September 11 near 17–20°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light southerly winds. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the coastal Shandong region, where moderating northerly flows from earlier in the week have given way to milder maritime air. Despite this consensus, market-implied odds heavily favor 12°C or below as the leading outcome, suggesting traders are weighting potential model divergences, rapid cooling from increased cloud cover, or localized measurement variations at official stations. Upcoming hourly updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$108結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese meteorological agencies and international models, indicate overnight lows for Qingdao on September 11 near 17–20°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light southerly winds. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the coastal Shandong region, where moderating northerly flows from earlier in the week have given way to milder maritime air. Despite this consensus, market-implied odds heavily favor 12°C or below as the leading outcome, suggesting traders are weighting potential model divergences, rapid cooling from increased cloud cover, or localized measurement variations at official stations. Upcoming hourly updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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