Forecast models from sources including GFS and DWD-MOS consensus point to a minimum temperature in Paris on September 8 clustered in the 15–17°C range, driven by an incoming frontal system with southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and periods of rain that limit overnight radiative cooling. Persistent low-level moisture and reduced clear-sky conditions suppress the typical nocturnal temperature drop, while mild advection from the Atlantic maintains baseline values near historical averages for early September. Minor model disagreements on exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity create the tight spread among leading outcomes, with updated runs expected to refine the precise low ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日巴黎最低溫度？
9月8日巴黎最低溫度？
16°C 37%
17°C 32%
15°C 28%
18°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
11°C或以下
2%
12°C
9%
13°C
14%
14°C
16%
15°C
28%
16°C
37%
17°C
32%
18°C
17%
19°C
8%
20°C
1%
21°C或更高
2%
16°C 37%
17°C 32%
15°C 28%
18°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
11°C或以下
$15 交易量
2%
12°C
$0 交易量
9%
13°C
$0 交易量
14%
14°C
$20 交易量
16%
15°C
$28 交易量
28%
16°C
$181 交易量
37%
17°C
$221 交易量
32%
18°C
$15 交易量
17%
19°C
$0 交易量
8%
20°C
$15 交易量
1%
21°C或更高
$15 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and DWD-MOS consensus point to a minimum temperature in Paris on September 8 clustered in the 15–17°C range, driven by an incoming frontal system with southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and periods of rain that limit overnight radiative cooling. Persistent low-level moisture and reduced clear-sky conditions suppress the typical nocturnal temperature drop, while mild advection from the Atlantic maintains baseline values near historical averages for early September. Minor model disagreements on exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity create the tight spread among leading outcomes, with updated runs expected to refine the precise low ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$510結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and DWD-MOS consensus point to a minimum temperature in Paris on September 8 clustered in the 15–17°C range, driven by an incoming frontal system with southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and periods of rain that limit overnight radiative cooling. Persistent low-level moisture and reduced clear-sky conditions suppress the typical nocturnal temperature drop, while mild advection from the Atlantic maintains baseline values near historical averages for early September. Minor model disagreements on exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity create the tight spread among leading outcomes, with updated runs expected to refine the precise low ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$510結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETForecast models from sources including GFS and DWD-MOS consensus point to a minimum temperature in Paris on September 8 clustered in the 15–17°C range, driven by an incoming frontal system with southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and periods of rain that limit overnight radiative cooling. Persistent low-level moisture and reduced clear-sky conditions suppress the typical nocturnal temperature drop, while mild advection from the Atlantic maintains baseline values near historical averages for early September. Minor model disagreements on exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity create the tight spread among leading outcomes, with updated runs expected to refine the precise low ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions