**Current meteorological forecasts position overnight lows near 29–31°C as the baseline for Jeddah on August 24, driven by the region's persistent warm, humid air mass advected from the Red Sea and Arabian interior.** High relative humidity (typically 50–60% at night) limits radiative cooling, producing a narrow diurnal temperature range and keeping minimums elevated compared with inland desert sites. August climatology shows average lows around 27–30°C, with recent model runs from sources such as the Saudi National Center for Meteorology and international ensembles indicating stable conditions and no significant cold-air intrusions or unusual cloud cover that would depress temperatures further. Market-implied probabilities favor outcomes at or above 30–33°C because traders appear to weight the strong historical precedent and current model consensus for continued warmth, while assigning low odds to rarer cooler scenarios (e.g., enhanced wind mixing or atypical advection) that would require substantial forecast shifts. Updated model guidance and official minimum-temperature observations will be the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日吉達最低溫度？
8月24日吉達最低溫度？
33°C或以上 85%
31°C 37%
29°C 36%
25°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
23°C或以下
2%
24°C
11%
25°C
28%
26°C
19%
27°C
19%
28°C
18%
29°C
19%
30°C
20%
31°C
28%
32°C
19%
33°C或以上
85%
33°C或以上 85%
31°C 37%
29°C 36%
25°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
23°C或以下
$178 交易量
2%
24°C
$145 交易量
11%
25°C
$80 交易量
28%
26°C
$5 交易量
19%
27°C
$5 交易量
19%
28°C
$36 交易量
18%
29°C
$7 交易量
19%
30°C
$0 交易量
20%
31°C
$5 交易量
28%
32°C
$0 交易量
19%
33°C或以上
$5 交易量
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current meteorological forecasts position overnight lows near 29–31°C as the baseline for Jeddah on August 24, driven by the region's persistent warm, humid air mass advected from the Red Sea and Arabian interior.** High relative humidity (typically 50–60% at night) limits radiative cooling, producing a narrow diurnal temperature range and keeping minimums elevated compared with inland desert sites. August climatology shows average lows around 27–30°C, with recent model runs from sources such as the Saudi National Center for Meteorology and international ensembles indicating stable conditions and no significant cold-air intrusions or unusual cloud cover that would depress temperatures further. Market-implied probabilities favor outcomes at or above 30–33°C because traders appear to weight the strong historical precedent and current model consensus for continued warmth, while assigning low odds to rarer cooler scenarios (e.g., enhanced wind mixing or atypical advection) that would require substantial forecast shifts. Updated model guidance and official minimum-temperature observations will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
交易量
$466結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current meteorological forecasts position overnight lows near 29–31°C as the baseline for Jeddah on August 24, driven by the region's persistent warm, humid air mass advected from the Red Sea and Arabian interior.** High relative humidity (typically 50–60% at night) limits radiative cooling, producing a narrow diurnal temperature range and keeping minimums elevated compared with inland desert sites. August climatology shows average lows around 27–30°C, with recent model runs from sources such as the Saudi National Center for Meteorology and international ensembles indicating stable conditions and no significant cold-air intrusions or unusual cloud cover that would depress temperatures further. Market-implied probabilities favor outcomes at or above 30–33°C because traders appear to weight the strong historical precedent and current model consensus for continued warmth, while assigning low odds to rarer cooler scenarios (e.g., enhanced wind mixing or atypical advection) that would require substantial forecast shifts. Updated model guidance and official minimum-temperature observations will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$466結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET**Current meteorological forecasts position overnight lows near 29–31°C as the baseline for Jeddah on August 24, driven by the region's persistent warm, humid air mass advected from the Red Sea and Arabian interior.** High relative humidity (typically 50–60% at night) limits radiative cooling, producing a narrow diurnal temperature range and keeping minimums elevated compared with inland desert sites. August climatology shows average lows around 27–30°C, with recent model runs from sources such as the Saudi National Center for Meteorology and international ensembles indicating stable conditions and no significant cold-air intrusions or unusual cloud cover that would depress temperatures further. Market-implied probabilities favor outcomes at or above 30–33°C because traders appear to weight the strong historical precedent and current model consensus for continued warmth, while assigning low odds to rarer cooler scenarios (e.g., enhanced wind mixing or atypical advection) that would require substantial forecast shifts. Updated model guidance and official minimum-temperature observations will be the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions