Recent forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C in Guangzhou on September 12, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 24.5°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. With no active cold fronts, typhoon influences, or anomalous steering patterns expected, the outlook favors stable overnight temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Trader consensus shows near-even odds between sub-18°C and 28°C+ bins alongside clustered probabilities around 23–25°C, reflecting model spread in boundary-layer cooling and urban heat-island effects. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution criteria tied to official station measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日廣州最低溫度？
9月12日廣州最低溫度？
28°C或以上 89%
18°C或以下 88%
19°C 39%
20°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
18°C或以下
88%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
21%
23°C
21%
24°C
26%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C或以上
89%
28°C或以上 89%
18°C或以下 88%
19°C 39%
20°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
18°C或以下
$0 交易量
88%
19°C
$0 交易量
39%
20°C
$0 交易量
39%
21°C
$0 交易量
39%
22°C
$0 交易量
21%
23°C
$0 交易量
21%
24°C
$0 交易量
26%
25°C
$0 交易量
39%
26°C
$0 交易量
39%
27°C
$0 交易量
39%
28°C或以上
$0 交易量
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C in Guangzhou on September 12, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 24.5°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. With no active cold fronts, typhoon influences, or anomalous steering patterns expected, the outlook favors stable overnight temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Trader consensus shows near-even odds between sub-18°C and 28°C+ bins alongside clustered probabilities around 23–25°C, reflecting model spread in boundary-layer cooling and urban heat-island effects. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution criteria tied to official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C in Guangzhou on September 12, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 24.5°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. With no active cold fronts, typhoon influences, or anomalous steering patterns expected, the outlook favors stable overnight temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Trader consensus shows near-even odds between sub-18°C and 28°C+ bins alongside clustered probabilities around 23–25°C, reflecting model spread in boundary-layer cooling and urban heat-island effects. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution criteria tied to official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C in Guangzhou on September 12, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 24.5°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. With no active cold fronts, typhoon influences, or anomalous steering patterns expected, the outlook favors stable overnight temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Trader consensus shows near-even odds between sub-18°C and 28°C+ bins alongside clustered probabilities around 23–25°C, reflecting model spread in boundary-layer cooling and urban heat-island effects. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution criteria tied to official station measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions