Latest forecasts from multiple models point to a minimum temperature in Cape Town on September 12 in the 13–16°C range, shaped by persistent southeasterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and light showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. September 2026 has run approximately 2.8°C above the long-term monthly mean, with early-month lows dipping to 5.9°C before milder conditions set in. These factors support trader expectations around typical spring values rather than colder anomalies, though final resolution hinges on official South African Weather Service observations and any last-minute model shifts ahead of the 24-hour period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日開普敦最低溫度?
22°C或以上 87%
12°C或以下 85%
14°C 40%
13°C 39%
12°C或以下
85%
13°C
39%
14°C
40%
15°C
25%
16°C
27%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
8%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C或以上
87%
22°C或以上 87%
12°C或以下 85%
14°C 40%
13°C 39%
12°C或以下
85%
13°C
39%
14°C
40%
15°C
25%
16°C
27%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
8%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C或以上
87%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecasts from multiple models point to a minimum temperature in Cape Town on September 12 in the 13–16°C range, shaped by persistent southeasterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and light showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. September 2026 has run approximately 2.8°C above the long-term monthly mean, with early-month lows dipping to 5.9°C before milder conditions set in. These factors support trader expectations around typical spring values rather than colder anomalies, though final resolution hinges on official South African Weather Service observations and any last-minute model shifts ahead of the 24-hour period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions