Recent forecasts from European models indicate minimum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 25 likely settling near 12–13°C, driven by a moderating westerly flow off the North Sea and variable cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 14°C, with recent hot spells earlier in the month giving way to cooler, showery conditions that have pulled overnight readings down. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 12°C (44.5%) and 13°C (43.5%) because small differences in forecast timing of any Atlantic front or wind shift can shift the low by 1–2°C, while lower probabilities for 11°C or below reflect the limited chance of stronger cooling under clearer skies. Updated runs from national meteorological services expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日阿姆斯特丹的最低溫度?
19°C或以上 65%
13°C 46%
12°C 42%
11°C 35%
9°C or below
34%
10°C
8%
11°C
35%
12°C
42%
13°C
46%
14°C
27%
15°C
34%
16°C
10%
17°C
9%
18°C
1%
19°C或以上
65%
19°C或以上 65%
13°C 46%
12°C 42%
11°C 35%
9°C or below
34%
10°C
8%
11°C
35%
12°C
42%
13°C
46%
14°C
27%
15°C
34%
16°C
10%
17°C
9%
18°C
1%
19°C或以上
65%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from European models indicate minimum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 25 likely settling near 12–13°C, driven by a moderating westerly flow off the North Sea and variable cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 14°C, with recent hot spells earlier in the month giving way to cooler, showery conditions that have pulled overnight readings down. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 12°C (44.5%) and 13°C (43.5%) because small differences in forecast timing of any Atlantic front or wind shift can shift the low by 1–2°C, while lower probabilities for 11°C or below reflect the limited chance of stronger cooling under clearer skies. Updated runs from national meteorological services expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions