**Forecast model consensus positions 21–22°C as the dominant outcomes for Amsterdam's maximum temperature on August 24.** Official KNMI guidance and ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS project a high near 21–22°C (roughly 70–72°F) under easterly flow from a high-pressure ridge centered over the North Sea, delivering dry, stable air with partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit daytime heating. This setup aligns closely with the late-August climatological average of ~21.6°C at Schiphol, reducing upside risk for 23°C+ while keeping sub-20°C unlikely absent unexpected cloud cover or a faster marine layer. Recent model runs show minimal spread through the 24-hour window, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 21–22°C bracket as the most probable resolution range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度?
21°C 47%
22°C 37%
20°C 11%
23°C 7%
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
11%
21°C
47%
22°C
37%
23°C
7%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C或以上
<1%
21°C 47%
22°C 37%
20°C 11%
23°C 7%
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
11%
21°C
47%
22°C
37%
23°C
7%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast model consensus positions 21–22°C as the dominant outcomes for Amsterdam's maximum temperature on August 24.** Official KNMI guidance and ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS project a high near 21–22°C (roughly 70–72°F) under easterly flow from a high-pressure ridge centered over the North Sea, delivering dry, stable air with partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit daytime heating. This setup aligns closely with the late-August climatological average of ~21.6°C at Schiphol, reducing upside risk for 23°C+ while keeping sub-20°C unlikely absent unexpected cloud cover or a faster marine layer. Recent model runs show minimal spread through the 24-hour window, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 21–22°C bracket as the most probable resolution range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions