Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination for the open Illinois Senate seat after a competitive March 2026 primary, benefiting from strong backing by Governor JB Pritzker and established party infrastructure as the state's lieutenant governor. Illinois voters have consistently supported Democratic Senate candidates in recent cycles, contributing to unanimous forecaster ratings of the race as Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, prevailed in a lower-visibility primary but faces structural headwinds in the deep-blue state. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, including Stratton's fundraising edge and name recognition. Scenarios that could shift the contest include significant national political realignments, unusually strong Republican turnout, or unexpected candidate developments before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$32,345 交易量
$32,345 交易量
2026-11-02
朱莉安娜·斯特拉頓（民主黨）
97%
唐・特雷西（共和黨）
3%
$32,345 交易量
$32,345 交易量
2026-11-02
朱莉安娜·斯特拉頓（民主黨）
$16,810 交易量
97%
唐・特雷西（共和黨）
$15,535 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination for the open Illinois Senate seat after a competitive March 2026 primary, benefiting from strong backing by Governor JB Pritzker and established party infrastructure as the state's lieutenant governor. Illinois voters have consistently supported Democratic Senate candidates in recent cycles, contributing to unanimous forecaster ratings of the race as Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, prevailed in a lower-visibility primary but faces structural headwinds in the deep-blue state. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, including Stratton's fundraising edge and name recognition. Scenarios that could shift the contest include significant national political realignments, unusually strong Republican turnout, or unexpected candidate developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$32,345結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination for the open Illinois Senate seat after a competitive March 2026 primary, benefiting from strong backing by Governor JB Pritzker and established party infrastructure as the state's lieutenant governor. Illinois voters have consistently supported Democratic Senate candidates in recent cycles, contributing to unanimous forecaster ratings of the race as Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, prevailed in a lower-visibility primary but faces structural headwinds in the deep-blue state. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, including Stratton's fundraising edge and name recognition. Scenarios that could shift the contest include significant national political realignments, unusually strong Republican turnout, or unexpected candidate developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$32,345結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETJuliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination for the open Illinois Senate seat after a competitive March 2026 primary, benefiting from strong backing by Governor JB Pritzker and established party infrastructure as the state's lieutenant governor. Illinois voters have consistently supported Democratic Senate candidates in recent cycles, contributing to unanimous forecaster ratings of the race as Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, prevailed in a lower-visibility primary but faces structural headwinds in the deep-blue state. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, including Stratton's fundraising edge and name recognition. Scenarios that could shift the contest include significant national political realignments, unusually strong Republican turnout, or unexpected candidate developments before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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