Illinois’s strong Democratic lean in statewide contests, reinforced by Kamala Harris’s 2024 margin and the party’s consistent success since 2010, underpins trader consensus that Democratic nominee Juliana Stratton will prevail over Republican Don Tracy in the November 3 general election. Stratton secured the nomination in the March 17 primary with backing from Governor JB Pritzker and a statewide record as lieutenant governor, while Tracy, the former state GOP chair, emerged from a fragmented Republican field in a state where Democrats hold structural advantages in voter registration and turnout. Forecasts from multiple outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan realignment could narrow the gap, though none have materialized in recent months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$32,358 交易量
$32,358 交易量
2026-11-02
朱莉安娜·斯特拉頓（民主黨）
96%
唐・特雷西（共和黨）
3%
$32,358 交易量
$32,358 交易量
2026-11-02
朱莉安娜·斯特拉頓（民主黨）
$16,810 交易量
96%
唐・特雷西（共和黨）
$15,548 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois’s strong Democratic lean in statewide contests, reinforced by Kamala Harris’s 2024 margin and the party’s consistent success since 2010, underpins trader consensus that Democratic nominee Juliana Stratton will prevail over Republican Don Tracy in the November 3 general election. Stratton secured the nomination in the March 17 primary with backing from Governor JB Pritzker and a statewide record as lieutenant governor, while Tracy, the former state GOP chair, emerged from a fragmented Republican field in a state where Democrats hold structural advantages in voter registration and turnout. Forecasts from multiple outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan realignment could narrow the gap, though none have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$32,358結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois’s strong Democratic lean in statewide contests, reinforced by Kamala Harris’s 2024 margin and the party’s consistent success since 2010, underpins trader consensus that Democratic nominee Juliana Stratton will prevail over Republican Don Tracy in the November 3 general election. Stratton secured the nomination in the March 17 primary with backing from Governor JB Pritzker and a statewide record as lieutenant governor, while Tracy, the former state GOP chair, emerged from a fragmented Republican field in a state where Democrats hold structural advantages in voter registration and turnout. Forecasts from multiple outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan realignment could narrow the gap, though none have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$32,358結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETIllinois’s strong Democratic lean in statewide contests, reinforced by Kamala Harris’s 2024 margin and the party’s consistent success since 2010, underpins trader consensus that Democratic nominee Juliana Stratton will prevail over Republican Don Tracy in the November 3 general election. Stratton secured the nomination in the March 17 primary with backing from Governor JB Pritzker and a statewide record as lieutenant governor, while Tracy, the former state GOP chair, emerged from a fragmented Republican field in a state where Democrats hold structural advantages in voter registration and turnout. Forecasts from multiple outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan realignment could narrow the gap, though none have materialized in recent months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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