Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model runs indicate mostly sunny conditions with light winds for Toronto on September 11, supporting a daytime high near 23°C as the primary driver of current market odds. This aligns with seasonal norms, where the long-term average high for the date is approximately 23°C, and reflects minimal uncertainty in short-range guidance with clear skies expected to limit daytime heating variability. Traders appear to assign secondary weight to the 24°C outcome amid slight model spread in afternoon temperatures, while cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability given stable high pressure and no significant air-mass changes. Updated model outputs or final observations on the day could still influence resolution if deviations occur.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日多倫多氣溫最高？
9月11日多倫多氣溫最高？
23°C 56%
24°C 26%
22°C 15%
25°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
15%
23°C
56%
24°C
26%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
23°C 56%
24°C 26%
22°C 15%
25°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
18°C或以下
$316 交易量
<1%
19°C
$268 交易量
1%
20°C
$88 交易量
1%
21°C
$369 交易量
2%
22°C
$1,421 交易量
15%
23°C
$2,536 交易量
56%
24°C
$1,097 交易量
26%
25°C
$765 交易量
5%
26°C
$365 交易量
1%
27°C
$268 交易量
<1%
28°C或以上
$455 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model runs indicate mostly sunny conditions with light winds for Toronto on September 11, supporting a daytime high near 23°C as the primary driver of current market odds. This aligns with seasonal norms, where the long-term average high for the date is approximately 23°C, and reflects minimal uncertainty in short-range guidance with clear skies expected to limit daytime heating variability. Traders appear to assign secondary weight to the 24°C outcome amid slight model spread in afternoon temperatures, while cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability given stable high pressure and no significant air-mass changes. Updated model outputs or final observations on the day could still influence resolution if deviations occur.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$7,948結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model runs indicate mostly sunny conditions with light winds for Toronto on September 11, supporting a daytime high near 23°C as the primary driver of current market odds. This aligns with seasonal norms, where the long-term average high for the date is approximately 23°C, and reflects minimal uncertainty in short-range guidance with clear skies expected to limit daytime heating variability. Traders appear to assign secondary weight to the 24°C outcome amid slight model spread in afternoon temperatures, while cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability given stable high pressure and no significant air-mass changes. Updated model outputs or final observations on the day could still influence resolution if deviations occur.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,948結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 8:55 AM ETRecent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model runs indicate mostly sunny conditions with light winds for Toronto on September 11, supporting a daytime high near 23°C as the primary driver of current market odds. This aligns with seasonal norms, where the long-term average high for the date is approximately 23°C, and reflects minimal uncertainty in short-range guidance with clear skies expected to limit daytime heating variability. Traders appear to assign secondary weight to the 24°C outcome amid slight model spread in afternoon temperatures, while cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability given stable high pressure and no significant air-mass changes. Updated model outputs or final observations on the day could still influence resolution if deviations occur.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions