Persistent rainfall and extensive cloud cover over Shenzhen today are moderating daytime heating by reducing solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling, driving the market's strong preference for a 28°C daily maximum. Recent station observations show temperatures peaking near 28–29°C amid moderate rain and northerly winds, consistent with National Meteorological Center guidance of a 29°C high under lingering convective activity. Historical September baselines in the region average 31–32°C, but this event's moisture influx has suppressed values. Traders appear to weigh the likelihood of further cooling against any late-day clearing that could push readings to 29°C before official verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日深圳最高溫度?
28°C 76.8%
29°C 17%
30°C 4%
31°C 1.6%
$67,639 交易量
$67,639 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
77%
29°C
17%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
28°C 76.8%
29°C 17%
30°C 4%
31°C 1.6%
$67,639 交易量
$67,639 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
77%
29°C
17%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent rainfall and extensive cloud cover over Shenzhen today are moderating daytime heating by reducing solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling, driving the market's strong preference for a 28°C daily maximum. Recent station observations show temperatures peaking near 28–29°C amid moderate rain and northerly winds, consistent with National Meteorological Center guidance of a 29°C high under lingering convective activity. Historical September baselines in the region average 31–32°C, but this event's moisture influx has suppressed values. Traders appear to weigh the likelihood of further cooling against any late-day clearing that could push readings to 29°C before official verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions