Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to a daytime peak in Panama City hovering near 32–33°C on August 12, supporting the narrow market edge for those outcomes amid tropical moisture and typical rainy-season convection. Afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers—common in the wet season—can suppress maximum temperatures by 1–2°C depending on timing and coverage, while clearer intervals allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet year-to-year variability tied to sea-surface temperatures and steering patterns keeps the distribution tight. Traders weigh the latest observational data and ensemble spreads, with resolution hinging on the precise hourly maximum recorded by official stations before evening cooling sets in.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日巴拿馬城的最高溫度?
33°C 39%
32°C 33%
34°C 15%
31°C 13%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
13%
32°C
33%
33°C
39%
34°C
15%
35°C
1%
36°C 或以上
1%
33°C 39%
32°C 33%
34°C 15%
31°C 13%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
13%
32°C
33%
33°C
39%
34°C
15%
35°C
1%
36°C 或以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to a daytime peak in Panama City hovering near 32–33°C on August 12, supporting the narrow market edge for those outcomes amid tropical moisture and typical rainy-season convection. Afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers—common in the wet season—can suppress maximum temperatures by 1–2°C depending on timing and coverage, while clearer intervals allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet year-to-year variability tied to sea-surface temperatures and steering patterns keeps the distribution tight. Traders weigh the latest observational data and ensemble spreads, with resolution hinging on the precise hourly maximum recorded by official stations before evening cooling sets in.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions